September 18, 2025 9:44 AM EST

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers 9/18/2025

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The Detroit Tigers are 46-30 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 38-37 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Tanner Bibee. Tarik Skubal has a 70% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tanner Bibee has a 45% chance of a QS. If Tarik Skubal has a quality start the Tigers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 70%. In Tanner Bibee quality starts the Guardians win 51%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 45% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-37, 51% 497Record at Home46-30, 61% 267Cleveland Guardians
VS Detroit Tigers4-4, 50% 70VS Cleveland Guardians4-4, 50% -161Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better34-41, 45% -335vs Team .500 or Better41-35, 54% -65Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog27-29, 48% 448Record As Home Favorite38-25, 60% -134Cleveland Guardians
When Tanner Bibee Starts15-13, 54% -5When Tarik Skubal Starts20-9, 69% 97Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -196Record at Home6-6, 50% -132Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers1-0, 100% 118VS Cleveland Guardians0-1, 0% -100Cleveland Guardians
vs Team Under .50012-3, 80% 796vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -61Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog5-8, 38% -196Record As Home Favorite4-4, 50% -141Detroit Tigers
When Tanner Bibee Starts2-3, 40% -117When Tarik Skubal Starts3-2, 60% -32Detroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-39, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME38-34, 53% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-4, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-49, 39% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Bibee STARTS14-12, 54% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tarik Skubal STARTS13-14, 48% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 38-37, 51% +227 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 39-37, 51% -41 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 8-5, 62% +277 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-5, 58% +94

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 43-32, 57% +164 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 43-33, 57% -344 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 10-3, 77% +482 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-6, 50% -132

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 28-30, 48% -500 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 31-32, 49% -420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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