September 25, 2023 11:17 AM EST

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees 9/25/2023

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are 36-38 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 39-36 at home. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt. Merrill Kelly has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Clarke Schmidt has a 40% chance of a QS. If Merrill Kelly has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 57%. In Clarke Schmidt quality starts the Yankees win 68%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 72% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road36-38, 49% 193Record at Home39-36, 52% -777Arizona Diamondbacks
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better36-46, 44% -574vs Team .500 or Better42-42, 50% -246New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog23-24, 49% 695Record As Home Favorite32-27, 54% -680Arizona Diamondbacks
When Merrill Kelly Starts15-13, 54% 40When Clarke Schmidt Starts14-17, 45% -662Arizona Diamondbacks

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-7, 36% -221Record at Home3-3, 50% -124New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better8-7, 53% 152vs Team .500 or Better11-7, 61% 263New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog3-5, 38% -104Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -124Arizona Diamondbacks
When Merrill Kelly Starts3-2, 60% 64When Clarke Schmidt Starts2-2, 50% -54Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD36-36, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME35-40, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-41, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-41, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Merrill Kelly STARTS10-18, 36% OverOVER-UNDER IN Clarke Schmidt STARTS12-18, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 41-33, 55% +273 New York Yankees Home Games: 39-36, 52% +277 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 7-4, 64% +150 New York Yankees Home Games: 4-2, 67% +230

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 42-32, 57% -72 New York Yankees Home Games: 43-32, 57% -29 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 7-4, 64% +150 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-1, 83% +308

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 27-39, 41% -1590 New York Yankees Home Games: 34-30, 53% + 100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 New York Yankees Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 190

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