The Baltimore Orioles are 48-30 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 37-41 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter John Means is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta. John Means has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nick Pivetta has a 38% chance of a QS. If John Means has a quality start the Orioles has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 67%. In Nick Pivetta quality starts the Red Sox win 66%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Triston Casas who averaged 2.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 37-41, 47% -107 | Record at Home | 48-30, 62% 571 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 4-6, 40% -246 | VS Boston Red Sox | 6-4, 60% 176 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 49-54, 48% 19 | vs Team Under .500 | 49-20, 71% 1314 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-29, 46% 246 | Record As Home Favorite | 35-20, 64% 166 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Nick Pivetta Starts | 7-10, 41% -269 | When John Means Starts | 1-1, 50% -28 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-9, 31% -547 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -91 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-3, 25% -214 | VS Boston Red Sox | 3-1, 75% 187 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-16, 27% -1082 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-7, 65% 350 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-8, 20% -540 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-4, 56% -97 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Nick Pivetta Starts | 1-3, 25% -180 | When John Means Starts | 1-1, 50% -28 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 40-35, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 37-35, 51% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-39, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-39, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 7-10, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER IN John Means STARTS | 0-2, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 43-35, 55% +918 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 50-28, 64% +1152 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 10-3, 77% +408 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-3, 73% +310
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 39-39, 50% -914 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 47-31, 60% +356 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 10-3, 77% +349 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-5, 55% -114
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 25-36, 41% -1460 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 34-32, 52% -120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 1-8, 11% -780
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