September 29, 2023 9:36 AM EST

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers 9/29/2023

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 47-31 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 37-41 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Colin Rea. Kyle Hendricks has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Colin Rea has a 42% chance of a QS. If Kyle Hendricks has a quality start the Cubs has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 53%. In Colin Rea quality starts the Brewers win 70%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Cody Bellinger who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road37-41, 47% -563Record at Home47-31, 60% 474Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers5-5, 50% -36VS Chicago Cubs5-5, 50% -34Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better37-49, 43% -1083vs Team .500 or Better50-36, 58% 1355Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog16-22, 42% -212Record As Home Favorite36-20, 64% 388Milwaukee Brewers
When Kyle Hendricks Starts10-11, 48% -173When Colin Rea Starts14-8, 64% 733Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-10, 23% -792Record at Home9-4, 69% 230Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers1-0, 100% 100VS Chicago Cubs0-1, 0% -100Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better5-13, 28% -921vs Team .500 or Better9-7, 56% 85Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog0-3, 0% -300Record As Home Favorite6-2, 75% 124Milwaukee Brewers
When Kyle Hendricks Starts2-2, 50% -65When Colin Rea Starts2-0, 100% 218Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD38-38, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME38-38, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-8, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-41, 47% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Hendricks STARTS10-11, 48% OverOVER-UNDER IN Colin Rea STARTS12-9, 57% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 44-34, 56% +57 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 40-38, 51% -304 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-4, 69% +362 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-5, 62% +336

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 41-37, 53% -373 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 44-34, 56% -176 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-5, 62% +166 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-5, 62% +34

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 35-32, 52% -20 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 42-24, 64% + 1560 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370

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