The Pittsburgh Pirates are 38-40 at home this season and the Miami Marlins are 37-40 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Andre Jackson. Jesus Luzardo has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Andre Jackson has a 46% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Marlins has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 49%. In Andre Jackson quality starts the Pirates win 70%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Jack Suwinski who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Luis Arraez who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 37-40, 48% 12 | Record at Home | 38-40, 49% 305 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-1, 75% 86 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-3, 25% -120 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 44-27, 62% 845 | vs Team .500 or Better | 39-60, 39% -501 | Miami Marlins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 14-7, 67% 251 | Record as Home Underdog | 24-31, 44% 194 | Miami Marlins |
| When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 20-13, 61% 580 | When Andre Jackson Starts | 1-5, 17% -415 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-5, 64% 314 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 252 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-7, 59% 537 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% 361 | Miami Marlins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-2, 75% 208 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-3, 50% 148 | Miami Marlins |
| When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 4-2, 67% 232 | When Andre Jackson Starts | 1-3, 25% -215 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 34-41, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 43-31, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-45, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 17-15, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andre Jackson STARTS | 2-4, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 38-39, 49% -564 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 34-44, 44% -607 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-10, 29% -556 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-4, 60% +297
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 47-30, 61% +266 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 34-44, 44% -1696 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 8-6, 57% -77 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-4, 60% +47
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 30-36, 45% -960 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 35-32, 52% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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