The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-38 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 38-39 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Taijuan Walker is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Tylor Megill. Taijuan Walker has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tylor Megill has a 28% chance of a QS. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Phillies has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 65%. In Tylor Megill quality starts the Mets win 68%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Brandon Nimmo who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 51% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 40-38, 51% -273 | Record at Home | 38-39, 49% -887 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS New York Mets | 6-4, 60% -25 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 4-6, 40% -283 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 42-27, 61% -181 | vs Team .500 or Better | 41-57, 42% -1771 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 27-20, 57% -28 | Record as Home Underdog | 11-14, 44% -195 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 21-9, 70% 825 | When Tylor Megill Starts | 9-16, 36% -718 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-5, 58% 145 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% 55 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS New York Mets | 4-0, 100% 229 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-4, 0% -400 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-2, 75% 187 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-12, 43% -183 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-4, 56% 19 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-2, 71% 398 | New York Mets |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 2-2, 50% -52 | When Tylor Megill Starts | 2-2, 50% 102 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 38-39, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 28-45, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-42, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-39, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS | 13-14, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tylor Megill STARTS | 8-13, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 35-43, 45% -1412 New York Mets Home Games: 34-43, 44% -1269 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-7, 42% -207 New York Mets Home Games: 9-5, 64% +351
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 39-39, 50% -903 New York Mets Home Games: 40-37, 52% -683 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-7, 42% -271 New York Mets Home Games: 8-6, 57% +123
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 34-37, 48% -670 New York Mets Home Games: 35-31, 53% + 90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 New York Mets Home Games: 8-3, 73% + 470
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