September 29, 2023 9:36 AM EST

San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox 9/29/2023

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The San Diego Padres are 35-43 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 30-47 at home. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Nick Martinez is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Dylan Cease. Nick Martinez has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dylan Cease has a 41% chance of a QS. If Nick Martinez has a quality start the Padres has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 65%. In Dylan Cease quality starts the White Sox win 59%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Luis Robert Jr. who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 50% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Juan Soto who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 75% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road35-43, 45% -1398Record at Home30-47, 39% -1783San Diego Padres
VS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50039-29, 57% -553vs Team .500 or Better25-56, 31% -2253San Diego Padres
Record as Road Favorite23-21, 52% -552Record as Home Underdog14-32, 30% -1441San Diego Padres
When Nick Martinez Starts3-4, 43% -126When Dylan Cease Starts16-15, 52% 142Chicago White Sox

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-5, 62% 229Record at Home2-10, 17% -733San Diego Padres
VS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50014-6, 70% 295vs Team .500 or Better5-13, 28% -669San Diego Padres
Record as Road Favorite4-1, 80% 159Record as Home Underdog1-7, 12% -516San Diego Padres
When Nick Martinez Starts1-1, 50% -38When Dylan Cease Starts3-2, 60% 161Chicago White Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD36-36, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME35-37, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-41, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-41, 47% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Nick Martinez STARTS2-5, 29% OverOVER-UNDER IN Dylan Cease STARTS15-14, 52% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 45-33, 58% +738 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 45-32, 58% +560 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-7, 46% -323 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 9-3, 75% +383

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 53-25, 68% +1704 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 54-23, 70% +1916 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 9-4, 69% +252 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 9-3, 75% +328

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 28-32, 47% -720 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 35-30, 54% + 200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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