January 19, 2026 6:36 PM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors 2026-01-19 22:00:00.0

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The Golden State Warriors are solid 57.1 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Heat are shooting 46.9 percent from the field and the Warriors are forecasted to shoot 45.2 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Heat projected for 42.7 rebounds vs. 43.6 for the Warriors. The Warriors are committing fewer turnovers at 13.0 vs 15.0 for the Heat. The Heat are making 14.9 three pointers on 38.8 percent from three point range. The Warriors are making 18.1 three pointers on 37.0 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Norman Powell 22.9, Stephen Curry 25.2 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 5.6, Stephen Curry 6.7 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 9.0, Al Horford 6.7 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at GS -5.5 TOTAL 238.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 22-20 Golden State Warriors 24-19 ATS Miami Heat 23-17 Sweat Barometer 2.0 Golden State Warriors 20-20 Sweat Barometer -0.3 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 20-21 Avg Over/Under Line 0.8 Golden State Warriors 25-18 Avg Over/Under Line -0.3 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 20-18 Golden State Warriors 15-22 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 18-22 Golden State Warriors 18-24

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Golden State Warriors

Miami HeatATS RECORDGolden State WarriorsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road7-13, 35.0% -600Record at Home16-6, 73.0% 1000Golden State Warriors
VS Golden State Warriors1-0, 100.0% 100VS Miami Heat0-1, 0.0% -110Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better10-17, 37.0% -870vs Team .500 or Better10-14, 42.0% -540Golden State Warriors
Record As Road Underdog6-10, 38.0% -500Record As Home Favorite15-4, 79.0% 1060Golden State Warriors
After 1 or More Days Off10-10, 50.0% -100After 1 or More Days Off11-10, 52.0% 0Golden State Warriors

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDGolden State WarriorsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home21-19, 53.0% 200Miami Heat
VS Golden State Warriors1-1, 50.0% -10VS Miami Heat1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better22-31, 42.0% -1210Golden State Warriors
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite19-13, 59.0% 470Golden State Warriors
After 1 or More Days Off48-39, 55.0% +510After 1 or More Days Off46-34, 57.0% +860Golden State Warriors

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDGolden State WarriorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-10, 47.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME13-9, 59.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR25-14, 64.0% OverN/A
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home17-15, 53.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road20-14, 59.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 13-6, 68.0% +640 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 7-13, 35.0% -730 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 4-2, 67.0% +180 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 3-8, 27.0% -580

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 7-11, 39.0% -463 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 9-12, 43.0% -381 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 0-5, 0.0% -500 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 4-6, 40.0% -236

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 8-12, 40.0% -46 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 5-17, 23.0% +-982 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-4, 33.0% -30 Golden State Warriors Home Games: 1-10, 9.0% -799

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