December 26, 2025 9:21 AM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks 2025-12-26 19:00:00.0

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The Miami Heat are slight 51.8 percent favorites over the Atlanta Hawks. The Heat are shooting 49.6 percent from the field and the Hawks are forecasted to shoot 50.3 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Heat projected for 41.7 rebounds vs. 40.3 for the Hawks. The Hawks are committing fewer turnovers at 13.5 vs 14.5 for the Heat. The Heat are making 15.4 three pointers on 40.5 percent from three point range. The Hawks are making 15.2 three pointers on 38.2 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Norman Powell 27.5, Jalen Johnson 24.3 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 5.8, Trae Young 9.4 REBOUNDS: Kel'el Ware 9.8, Jalen Johnson 10.1 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at ATL -2.5 TOTAL 248.0. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 15-15 Atlanta Hawks 15-16 ATS Miami Heat 15-13 Sweat Barometer 1.5 Atlanta Hawks 14-17 Sweat Barometer -1.6 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 14-15 Avg Over/Under Line 0.6 Atlanta Hawks 17-14 Avg Over/Under Line 4.1 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 15-11 Atlanta Hawks 19-12 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 14-15 Atlanta Hawks 17-14

NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Miami HeatATS RECORDAtlanta HawksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road5-10, 33.0% -500Record at Home5-9, 36.0% -400Atlanta Hawks
VS Atlanta Hawks0-0 No GamesVS Miami Heat0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50010-2, 83.0% 780vs Team .500 or Better7-10, 41.0% -400Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog4-8, 33.0% -480Record As Home Favorite2-6, 25.0% -460Atlanta Hawks
After 1 or More Days Off6-8, 43.0% -280After 1 or More Days Off5-10, 33.0% -600Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDAtlanta HawksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home21-20, 51.0% 100Miami Heat
VS Atlanta Hawks3-1, 75.0% 190VS Miami Heat1-3, 25.0% -230Miami Heat
vs Team Under .50028-9, 76.0% 1810vs Team .500 or Better20-32, 38.0% -1520Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite14-10, 58.0% 300Atlanta Hawks
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off36-43, 46.0% -1130Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDAtlanta HawksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-6, 57.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-7, 50.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR26-15, 63.0% OverN/A
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home9-9, 50.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road12-11, 52.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 10-4, 71.0% +560 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 9-5, 64.0% +350 POINT SPREAD (Last Season) - Miami Heat Road Games: 10-4, 71.0% +560 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 9-5, 64.0% +350

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 7-7, 50.0% -63 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 6-8, 43.0% -254 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 7-7, 50.0% -63 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 6-8, 43.0% -254

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 6-9, 40.0% -116 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 8-6, 57.0% 359 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Miami Heat Road Games: 6-9, 40.0% -116 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 8-6, 57.0% +359

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