February 20, 2026 4:20 AM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks 2026-02-20 19:30:00.0

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The Miami Heat are slight 51.7 percent favorites over the Atlanta Hawks. The Heat are shooting 48.4 percent from the field and the Hawks are forecasted to shoot 46.2 percent. The Hawks have the rebounding advantage at 48.6 to 42.8. Turnovers are pretty even with the Heat projected for 13.9 turnovers vs. 14.0 for the Hawks. The Heat are making 15.9 three pointers on 38.5 percent from three point range. The Hawks are making 16.7 three pointers on 36.2 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 17.7, Jalen Johnson 19.5 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 4.0, Jalen Johnson 7.2 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 7.0, Jalen Johnson 9.4 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at ATL 3.5 TOTAL 242.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 29-27 Atlanta Hawks 27-30 ATS Miami Heat 31-23 Sweat Barometer 2.2 Atlanta Hawks 28-29 Sweat Barometer -0.8 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 27-28 Avg Over/Under Line 0.4 Atlanta Hawks 28-29 Avg Over/Under Line 0.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 28-23 Atlanta Hawks 35-21 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 22-31 Atlanta Hawks 24-31

NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Miami HeatATS RECORDAtlanta HawksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road13-16, 45.0% -300Record at Home10-15, 40.0% -500Miami Heat
VS Atlanta Hawks1-1, 50.0% -10VS Miami Heat1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team Under .50019-7, 73.0% 1130vs Team .500 or Better15-19, 44.0% -590Miami Heat
Record as Road Favorite5-3, 63.0% 170Record as Home Underdog5-7, 42.0% -270Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off12-15, 44.0% -450Playing Back-to-Back Days14-13, 52.0% -30Atlanta Hawks

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDAtlanta HawksATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home21-20, 51.0% 100Miami Heat
VS Atlanta Hawks3-1, 75.0% 190VS Miami Heat1-3, 25.0% -230Miami Heat
vs Team Under .50028-9, 76.0% 1810vs Team .500 or Better20-32, 38.0% -1520Miami Heat
Record as Road Favorite12-4, 75.0% 760Record as Home Underdog7-10, 41.0% -400Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off34-43, 44.0% -1330Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDAtlanta HawksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-15, 46.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-14, 44.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR26-15, 63.0% OverN/A
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home26-26, 50.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road26-28, 48.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 18-9, 67.0% +810 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 15-10, 60.0% +400 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 4-2, 67.0% +180 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 9-17, 35.0% -881 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 9-15, 38.0% -681 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-4, 33.0% -218 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 1-4, 20.0% -309

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 14-15, 48.0% -116 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 12-13, 48.0% 60 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 5-2, 71.0% +30 Atlanta Hawks Home Games: 1-4, 20.0% -319

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