February 27, 2026 6:45 PM EST

NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 2026-02-27 21:30:00.0

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The Oklahoma City Thunder are solid 62.5 percent favorites over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are shooting 48.1 percent from the field and the Thunder are forecasted to shoot 50.1 percent. The Nuggets have the rebounding advantage at 42.2 to 39.5. The Thunder are committing fewer turnovers at 11.2 vs 14.9 for the Nuggets. The Nuggets are making 13.6 three pointers on 37.9 percent from three point range. The Thunder are making 15.5 three pointers on 36.4 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Nikola Jokic 34.6, Shai Gilgeous Alexander 30.8 ASSISTS: Nikola Jokic 11.4, Shai Gilgeous Alexander 7.8 REBOUNDS: Nikola Jokic 10.7, Isaiah Hartenstein 7.3 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at OKC -8.0 TOTAL 233.5. WIN-LOSS Denver Nuggets 37-22 Oklahoma City Thunder 45-15 ATS Denver Nuggets 33-26 Sweat Barometer 1.6 Oklahoma City Thunder 29-29 Sweat Barometer 1.5 OVER-UNDER Denver Nuggets 39-19 Avg Over/Under Line 8.2 Oklahoma City Thunder 36-24 Avg Over/Under Line 3.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Denver Nuggets 32-26 Oklahoma City Thunder 32-24 OVER-UNDER PICKS Denver Nuggets 37-21 Oklahoma City Thunder 27-31

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDOklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road21-11, 66.0% 1000Record at Home24-7, 77.0% 1700Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Oklahoma City Thunder0-1, 0.0% -110VS Denver Nuggets1-0, 100.0% 100Oklahoma City Thunder
vs Team .500 or Better14-13, 52.0% -30vs Team .500 or Better19-11, 63.0% 690Oklahoma City Thunder
Record As Road Underdog8-4, 67.0% 360Record As Home Favorite23-7, 77.0% 1530Oklahoma City Thunder
Playing Back-to-Back Days16-10, 62.0% +500After 1 or More Days Off20-15, 57.0% +350Denver Nuggets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDOklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road27-19, 59.0% 800Record at Home36-10, 78.0% 2600Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Oklahoma City Thunder1-3, 25.0% -230VS Denver Nuggets3-1, 75.0% 190Oklahoma City Thunder
vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520vs Team .500 or Better39-24, 62.0% 1260Oklahoma City Thunder
Record As Road Underdog7-6, 54.0% 40Record As Home Favorite32-7, 82.0% 2430Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off63-29, 68.0% +3110After 1 or More Days Off61-29, 68.0% +2910Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver NuggetsRECORDOklahoma City ThunderRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-8, 74.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-15, 52.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-0, 100.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR19-26, 42.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR24-22, 52.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home32-18, 64.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road30-21, 59.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 19-12, 61.0% +580 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 16-14, 53.0% +60 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 4-2, 67.0% +180 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 2-2, 50.0% -20

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 20-11, 65.0% + 720 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 11-19, 37.0% -899 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 6-0, 100.0% + 546 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% + 73

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 17-15, 53.0% +678 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 8-23, 26.0% 651 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 3-3, 50.0% -102 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% +521

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