February 06, 2026 5:45 AM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics 2026-02-06 19:30:00.0

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The Boston Celtics are solid 66.9 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Heat are shooting 47.9 percent from the field and the Celtics are forecasted to shoot 48.5 percent. The Celtics have the rebounding advantage at 45.0 to 38.3. Turnovers are pretty even with the Heat projected for 11.4 turnovers vs. 11.9 for the Celtics. The Heat are making 13.6 three pointers on 36.7 percent from three point range. The Celtics are making 15.4 three pointers on 38.1 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Norman Powell 21.2, Jaylen Brown 29.6 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 4.2, Jaylen Brown 6.0 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 7.7, Nikola Vucevic 8.1 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at BOS -7.0 TOTAL 229.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 27-25 Boston Celtics 33-18 ATS Miami Heat 28-22 Sweat Barometer 1.9 Boston Celtics 29-20 Sweat Barometer 3.1 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 26-25 Avg Over/Under Line 1.4 Boston Celtics 20-30 Avg Over/Under Line -2.9 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 25-23 Boston Celtics 30-18 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 21-29 Boston Celtics 21-26

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Celtics

Miami HeatATS RECORDBoston CelticsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road11-15, 42.0% -400Record at Home16-8, 67.0% 800Boston Celtics
VS Boston Celtics0-2, 0.0% -220VS Miami Heat2-0, 100.0% 200Boston Celtics
vs Team .500 or Better10-19, 34.0% -1090vs Team .500 or Better14-11, 56.0% 190Boston Celtics
Record As Road Underdog7-12, 37.0% -620Record As Home Favorite13-6, 68.0% 640Boston Celtics
After 1 or More Days Off10-15, 40.0% -650Playing Back-to-Back Days14-9, 61.0% +410Boston Celtics

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Celtics

Miami HeatATS RECORDBoston CelticsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home46-6, 88.0% 4000Boston Celtics
VS Boston Celtics1-7, 13.0% -670VS Miami Heat7-1, 88.0% 590Boston Celtics
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better50-18, 74.0% 3020Boston Celtics
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite45-6, 88.0% 3840Boston Celtics
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off76-21, 78.0% +5290Boston Celtics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDBoston CelticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-13, 48.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-14, 39.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-7, 13.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR30-21, 59.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home23-21, 52.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road17-22, 44.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 16-9, 64.0% +610 Boston Celtics Home Games: 13-9, 59.0% +310 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 4-4, 50.0% -40 Boston Celtics Home Games: 3-4, 43.0% -140

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 8-16, 33.0% -872 Boston Celtics Home Games: 9-13, 41.0% -481 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-7, 13.0% -609 Boston Celtics Home Games: 1-6, 14.0% -509

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 11-15, 42.0% -260 Boston Celtics Home Games: 13-11, 54.0% 740 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 3-5, 38.0% -342 Boston Celtics Home Games: 5-3, 63.0% -24

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