March 10, 2026 5:46 AM EST

NBA: Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat 2026-03-10 18:30:00.0

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The Miami Heat are heavy 78.1 percent favorites over the Washington Wizards. The Wizards are shooting 43.8 percent from the field which is significantly lower than the Heat who are forecasted to shoot 50.4 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Wizards projected for 42.8 rebounds vs. 44.3 for the Heat. The Heat are committing fewer turnovers at 14.1 vs 16.1 for the Wizards. The Wizards are making 13.7 three pointers on 34.2 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 14.1 three pointers on 38.5 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Trae Young 18.2, Bam Adebayo 28.3 ASSISTS: Trae Young 7.7, Tyler Herro 5.7 REBOUNDS: Julian Reese 9.8, Bam Adebayo 9.6 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA -15.5 TOTAL 242.0. WIN-LOSS Washington Wizards 16-47 Miami Heat 36-29 ATS Washington Wizards 26-37 Sweat Barometer -1.5 Miami Heat 38-25 Sweat Barometer 3.0 OVER-UNDER Washington Wizards 34-28 Avg Over/Under Line 2.4 Miami Heat 33-31 Avg Over/Under Line 0.9 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Washington Wizards 29-32 Miami Heat 30-30 OVER-UNDER PICKS Washington Wizards 23-35 Miami Heat 27-35

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Washington WizardsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road5-25, 17.0% -2000Record at Home21-11, 66.0% 1000Miami Heat
VS Miami Heat0-1, 0.0% -110VS Washington Wizards1-0, 100.0% 100Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better4-33, 11.0% -3230vs Team Under .50020-7, 74.0% 1230Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog5-25, 17.0% -2250Record As Home Favorite14-9, 61.0% 410Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off15-22, 41.0% -920After 1 or More Days Off15-16, 48.0% -260Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Washington WizardsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road8-33, 20.0% -2500Record at Home23-20, 53.0% 300Miami Heat
VS Miami Heat1-3, 25.0% -230VS Washington Wizards3-1, 75.0% 190Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better4-47, 8.0% -4770vs Team Under .50028-9, 76.0% 1810Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog8-31, 21.0% -2610Record As Home Favorite23-8, 74.0% 1420Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off15-65, 19.0% -5650After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington WizardsRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-13, 57.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-15, 53.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR23-17, 57.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-22, 49.0% OverOVER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home34-26, 57.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road32-30, 52.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Washington Wizards Road Games: 12-18, 40.0% -780 Miami Heat Home Games: 11-18, 38.0% -880 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Wizards Road Games: 0-5, 0.0% -550 Miami Heat Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -240

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Washington Wizards Road Games: 12-16, 43.0% -508 Miami Heat Home Games: 16-16, 50.0% -144 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Wizards Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Washington Wizards Road Games: 5-25, 17.0% -592 Miami Heat Home Games: 13-19, 41.0% 448 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Wizards Road Games: 0-5, 0.0% -468 Miami Heat Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -25

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