March 17, 2026 12:49 PM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets 2026-03-17 18:00:00.0

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The Charlotte Hornets are slight 51.6 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Heat are shooting 48.6 percent from the field and the Hornets are forecasted to shoot 47.4 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Heat projected for 41.0 rebounds vs. 41.1 for the Hornets. Turnovers are pretty even with the Heat projected for 12.9 turnovers vs. 13.9 for the Hornets. The Heat are making 13.7 three pointers on 37.4 percent from three point range. The Hornets are making 17.3 three pointers on 39.6 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 23.9, Brandon Miller 20.4 ASSISTS: Tyler Herro 4.6, LaMelo Ball 6.0 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 8.9, Moussa Diabate 7.4 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at CHA -4.0 TOTAL 233.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 38-30 Charlotte Hornets 34-34 ATS Miami Heat 39-26 Sweat Barometer 2.8 Charlotte Hornets 38-27 Sweat Barometer 5.0 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 35-32 Avg Over/Under Line 1.2 Charlotte Hornets 28-39 Avg Over/Under Line -0.2 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 31-31 Charlotte Hornets 37-28 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 28-36 Charlotte Hornets 23-43

NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Miami HeatATS RECORDCharlotte HornetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road15-18, 45.0% -300Record at Home14-17, 45.0% -300EVEN
VS Charlotte Hornets3-0, 100.0% 300VS Miami Heat0-3, 0.0% -330Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better18-22, 45.0% -620vs Team .500 or Better15-24, 38.0% -1140Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog9-14, 39.0% -640Record As Home Favorite9-2, 82.0% 680Charlotte Hornets
After 1 or More Days Off16-17, 48.0% -270After 1 or More Days Off18-17, 51.0% -70Charlotte Hornets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDCharlotte HornetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home11-30, 27.0% -1900Miami Heat
VS Charlotte Hornets4-0, 100.0% 400VS Miami Heat0-4, 0.0% -440Miami Heat
vs Team Under .50028-9, 76.0% 1810vs Team .500 or Better8-44, 15.0% -4040Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite2-3, 40.0% -130Charlotte Hornets
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off21-59, 26.0% -4390Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDCharlotte HornetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-16, 50.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-19, 37.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-3, 25.0% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR22-19, 54.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home35-32, 52.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road28-39, 42.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 19-12, 61.0% +580 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 14-14, 50.0% -140 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-3, 25.0% -230 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 4-1, 80.0% +290

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 11-19, 37.0% -899 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 9-20, 31.0% -1181 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-2, 50.0% -18 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 2-2, 50.0% -18

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 16-17, 48.0% +221 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 11-20, 35.0% +-544 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-3, 25.0% -55 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -40

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