March 21, 2026 4:32 AM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Houston Rockets 2026-03-21 19:00:00.0

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The Houston Rockets are slight 50.5 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Heat are shooting 46.9 percent from the field and the Rockets are forecasted to shoot 46.6 percent. The Rockets have the rebounding advantage at 44.1 to 39.2. Turnovers are pretty even with the Heat projected for 14.8 turnovers vs. 14.7 for the Rockets. The Heat are making 13.9 three pointers on 36.4 percent from three point range. The Rockets are making 12.6 three pointers on 36.0 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 24.5, Kevin Durant 22.4 ASSISTS: Tyler Herro 4.6, Alperen Sengun 5.7 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 8.4, Alperen Sengun 8.7 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at HOU -2.0 TOTAL 229.5. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 38-32 Houston Rockets 42-27 ATS Miami Heat 39-28 Sweat Barometer 2.2 Houston Rockets 30-39 Sweat Barometer -2.0 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 37-32 Avg Over/Under Line 1.5 Houston Rockets 29-40 Avg Over/Under Line -1.0 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 32-32 Houston Rockets 40-27 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 28-38 Houston Rockets 32-37

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Rockets

Miami HeatATS RECORDHouston RocketsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road15-19, 44.0% -400Record at Home24-10, 71.0% 1400Houston Rockets
VS Houston Rockets1-0, 100.0% 100VS Miami Heat0-1, 0.0% -110Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better16-24, 40.0% -1040vs Team .500 or Better19-16, 54.0% 140Houston Rockets
Record As Road Underdog9-15, 38.0% -750Record As Home Favorite24-9, 73.0% 1410Houston Rockets
After 1 or More Days Off16-19, 46.0% -490Playing Back-to-Back Days13-18, 42.0% -680Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDHouston RocketsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home27-14, 66.0% 1300Houston Rockets
VS Houston Rockets2-0, 100.0% 200VS Miami Heat0-2, 0.0% -220Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better20-32, 38.0% -1520Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite15-3, 83.0% 1170Houston Rockets
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off37-41, 47.0% -810Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDHouston RocketsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-16, 52.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-23, 32.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR22-19, 54.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home37-32, 54.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road29-40, 42.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 19-13, 59.0% +470 Houston Rockets Home Games: 22-12, 65.0% +880 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-4, 20.0% -340 Houston Rockets Home Games: 4-5, 44.0% -150

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 11-20, 35.0% -999 Houston Rockets Home Games: 12-22, 35.0% -1108 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118 Houston Rockets Home Games: 4-5, 44.0% -136

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 16-18, 47.0% +121 Houston Rockets Home Games: 12-22, 35.0% +-516 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-4, 20.0% -155 Houston Rockets Home Games: 3-6, 33.0% -129

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