March 25, 2026 8:08 PM EST

NBA: Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets 2026-03-25 21:00:00.0

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The Denver Nuggets are heavy 86.0 percent favorites over the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks are shooting 50.7 percent from the field and the Nuggets are forecasted to shoot 53.5 percent. The Nuggets have the rebounding advantage at 41.5 to 35.2. The Nuggets are committing fewer turnovers at 10.8 vs 17.9 for the Mavericks. The Mavericks are making 12.0 three pointers on 35.2 percent from three point range. The Nuggets are making 14.0 three pointers on 39.6 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Cooper Flagg 29.1, Nikola Jokic 37.9 ASSISTS: Cooper Flagg 6.7, Nikola Jokic 11.4 REBOUNDS: P.J. Washington 6.1, Nikola Jokic 11.1 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DEN -12.0 TOTAL 245.0. WIN-LOSS Dallas Mavericks 23-49 Denver Nuggets 45-28 ATS Dallas Mavericks 30-40 Sweat Barometer -1.0 Denver Nuggets 40-33 Sweat Barometer 1.0 OVER-UNDER Dallas Mavericks 35-36 Avg Over/Under Line 1.4 Denver Nuggets 46-25 Avg Over/Under Line 7.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Dallas Mavericks 36-34 Denver Nuggets 36-35 OVER-UNDER PICKS Dallas Mavericks 38-32 Denver Nuggets 46-25

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Dallas MavericksATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road9-26, 26.0% -1700Record at Home21-13, 62.0% 800Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets2-1, 67.0% 90VS Dallas Mavericks1-2, 33.0% -120Dallas Mavericks
vs Team .500 or Better10-33, 23.0% -2630vs Team Under .50022-9, 71.0% 1210Denver Nuggets
Record As Road Underdog4-23, 15.0% -2130Record As Home Favorite19-6, 76.0% 1240Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off14-23, 38.0% -1130Playing Back-to-Back Days19-15, 56.0% +250Denver Nuggets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Dallas MavericksATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road32-21, 60.0% 1100Record at Home37-11, 77.0% 2600Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets1-2, 33.0% -120VS Dallas Mavericks2-1, 67.0% 90Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better38-36, 51.0% -160vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520Denver Nuggets
Record As Road Underdog11-17, 39.0% -770Record As Home Favorite36-11, 77.0% 2390Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off61-41, 60.0% +1590After 1 or More Days Off63-29, 68.0% +3110Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas MavericksRECORDDenver NuggetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-20, 41.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-16, 52.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-6, 25.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-6, 14.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR26-27, 49.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-27, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home35-36, 49.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road46-25, 65.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 17-18, 49.0% -280 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 14-19, 42.0% -690 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 3-6, 33.0% -360 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 1-6, 14.0% -560

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 19-15, 56.0% + 229 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 20-13, 61.0% + 520 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 6-2, 75.0% + 346 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 3-4, 43.0% -127

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 10-25, 29.0% +86 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 12-22, 35.0% +-248 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Mavericks Road Games: 2-7, 22.0% +291 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 3-5, 38.0% -276

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