March 25, 2026 8:08 PM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers 2026-03-25 18:30:00.0

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Miami Heat are slight 51.9 percent favorites over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Heat are shooting 46.5 percent from the field and the Cavaliers are forecasted to shoot 47.0 percent. The Heat have the rebounding advantage at 46.1 to 41.1. The Cavaliers are committing fewer turnovers at 12.4 vs 15.4 for the Heat. The Heat are making 15.6 three pointers on 39.1 percent from three point range. The Cavaliers are making 17.1 three pointers on 37.6 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 26.7, Donovan Mitchell 28.8 ASSISTS: Tyler Herro 5.1, James Harden 9.0 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 9.9, Evan Mobley 10.4 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at CLE -2.5 TOTAL 243.0. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 38-34 Cleveland Cavaliers 45-27 ATS Miami Heat 40-29 Sweat Barometer 1.9 Cleveland Cavaliers 31-41 Sweat Barometer -1.7 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 39-32 Avg Over/Under Line 1.8 Cleveland Cavaliers 37-34 Avg Over/Under Line -0.3 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 33-32 Cleveland Cavaliers 40-30 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 29-39 Cleveland Cavaliers 32-38

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Cavaliers

Miami HeatATS RECORDCleveland CavaliersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road15-20, 43.0% -500Record at Home23-13, 64.0% 1000Cleveland Cavaliers
VS Cleveland Cavaliers1-1, 50.0% -10VS Miami Heat1-1, 50.0% -10EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better18-26, 41.0% -1060vs Team .500 or Better24-20, 55.0% 200Cleveland Cavaliers
Record As Road Underdog9-16, 36.0% -860Record As Home Favorite22-10, 69.0% 1100Cleveland Cavaliers
After 1 or More Days Off17-19, 47.0% -390Playing Back-to-Back Days13-16, 45.0% -460Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Cavaliers

Miami HeatATS RECORDCleveland CavaliersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home30-17, 64.0% 1300Cleveland Cavaliers
VS Cleveland Cavaliers3-1, 75.0% 190VS Miami Heat1-3, 25.0% -230Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better26-33, 44.0% -1030Cleveland Cavaliers
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite26-10, 72.0% 1500Cleveland Cavaliers
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off52-38, 58.0% +1020Cleveland Cavaliers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDCleveland CavaliersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-16, 53.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-21, 42.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-0, 100.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR25-21, 54.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home39-32, 55.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road37-34, 52.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 20-13, 61.0% +570 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 21-15, 58.0% +450 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -30

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 11-21, 34.0% -1099 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 19-16, 54.0% + 129 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 16-19, 46.0% +21 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 13-23, 36.0% 1498 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-4, 20.0% -155 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% +630

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW