March 05, 2026 6:24 PM EST

NBA: Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat 2026-03-05 19:30:00.0

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The Miami Heat are heavy 75.5 percent favorites over the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets are shooting 43.4 percent from the field which is significantly lower than the Heat who are forecasted to shoot 49.3 percent. The Heat have the rebounding advantage at 44.4 to 41.6. The Heat are committing fewer turnovers at 13.9 vs 15.3 for the Nets. The Nets are making 13.9 three pointers on 31.8 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 13.2 three pointers on 39.0 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Michael Porter 23.2, Bam Adebayo 23.9 ASSISTS: Nolan Traore 4.8, Tyler Herro 5.2 REBOUNDS: Nicolas Claxton 7.1, Bam Adebayo 10.0 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA -13.0 TOTAL 226.5. WIN-LOSS Brooklyn Nets 15-46 Miami Heat 33-29 ATS Brooklyn Nets 26-32 Sweat Barometer -0.9 Miami Heat 35-25 Sweat Barometer 2.6 OVER-UNDER Brooklyn Nets 28-33 Avg Over/Under Line -0.8 Miami Heat 30-31 Avg Over/Under Line 0.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Brooklyn Nets 29-27 Miami Heat 29-28 OVER-UNDER PICKS Brooklyn Nets 25-36 Miami Heat 25-34

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Brooklyn NetsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road7-24, 23.0% -1700Record at Home19-11, 63.0% 800Miami Heat
VS Miami Heat0-2, 0.0% -220VS Brooklyn Nets2-0, 100.0% 200Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better6-34, 15.0% -3140vs Team Under .50018-7, 72.0% 1030Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog7-23, 23.0% -1830Record As Home Favorite13-9, 59.0% 310Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off13-16, 45.0% -460After 1 or More Days Off14-16, 47.0% -360Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Brooklyn NetsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road12-29, 29.0% -1700Record at Home23-20, 53.0% 300Miami Heat
VS Miami Heat2-2, 50.0% -20VS Brooklyn Nets2-2, 50.0% -20EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better13-39, 25.0% -2990vs Team Under .50028-9, 76.0% 1810Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog7-23, 23.0% -1830Record As Home Favorite23-8, 74.0% 1420Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off32-50, 39.0% -2300After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Brooklyn NetsRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-18, 42.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-15, 50.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-20, 51.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-22, 49.0% OverN/A
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home22-29, 43.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road29-26, 53.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Brooklyn Nets Road Games: 14-14, 50.0% -140 Miami Heat Home Games: 11-16, 41.0% -660 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Brooklyn Nets Road Games: 0-5, 0.0% -550 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% +80

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Brooklyn Nets Road Games: 13-18, 42.0% -617 Miami Heat Home Games: 15-15, 50.0% -135 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Brooklyn Nets Road Games: 4-2, 67.0% + 164 Miami Heat Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Brooklyn Nets Road Games: 10-21, 32.0% +483 Miami Heat Home Games: 13-17, 43.0% 648 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Brooklyn Nets Road Games: 1-5, 17.0% -493 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% +315

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