March 06, 2026 7:31 PM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets 2026-03-06 19:00:00.0

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Charlotte Hornets are solid 61.6 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Heat are shooting 49.4 percent from the field and the Hornets are forecasted to shoot 47.5 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Heat projected for 40.7 rebounds vs. 42.1 for the Hornets. The Hornets are committing fewer turnovers at 12.9 vs 14.3 for the Heat. The Heat are making 12.5 three pointers on 36.4 percent from three point range. The Hornets are making 17.8 three pointers on 39.9 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 29.9, Brandon Miller 23.3 ASSISTS: Tyler Herro 6.9, LaMelo Ball 6.6 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 10.3, Moussa Diabate 7.7 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at CHA -7.5 TOTAL 229.0. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 34-29 Charlotte Hornets 32-31 ATS Miami Heat 36-25 Sweat Barometer 2.6 Charlotte Hornets 38-22 Sweat Barometer 6.2 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 31-31 Avg Over/Under Line 0.6 Charlotte Hornets 25-37 Avg Over/Under Line -3.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 29-29 Charlotte Hornets 36-24 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 25-35 Charlotte Hornets 20-41

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Charlotte Hornets

Miami HeatATS RECORDCharlotte HornetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road14-18, 44.0% -400Record at Home14-16, 47.0% -200Charlotte Hornets
VS Charlotte Hornets2-0, 100.0% 200VS Miami Heat0-2, 0.0% -220Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better15-22, 41.0% -920vs Team .500 or Better15-21, 42.0% -810Charlotte Hornets
Record As Road Underdog8-14, 36.0% -740Record As Home Favorite9-1, 90.0% 790Charlotte Hornets
Playing Back-to-Back Days21-9, 70.0% +1110Playing Back-to-Back Days20-8, 71.0% +1120Charlotte Hornets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Charlotte Hornets

Miami HeatATS RECORDCharlotte HornetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home11-30, 27.0% -1900Miami Heat
VS Charlotte Hornets4-0, 100.0% 400VS Miami Heat0-4, 0.0% -440Miami Heat
vs Team Under .50028-9, 76.0% 1810vs Team .500 or Better8-44, 15.0% -4040Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite2-3, 40.0% -130Charlotte Hornets
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off21-59, 26.0% -4390Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDCharlotte HornetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-16, 48.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-19, 34.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-5, 0.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR22-19, 54.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home29-25, 54.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road19-33, 37.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 18-12, 60.0% +480 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 13-14, 48.0% -240 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 5-1, 83.0% +390

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 10-19, 34.0% -990 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 8-20, 29.0% -1272 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 1-4, 20.0% -309

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 14-18, 44.0% -287 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 11-19, 37.0% +-642 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 3-3, 50.0% -156 Charlotte Hornets Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -316

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW