April 07, 2026 8:14 AM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors 2026-04-07 18:30:00.0

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The Miami Heat are slight 52.3 percent favorites over the Toronto Raptors. The Heat are shooting 48.0 percent from the field and the Raptors are forecasted to shoot 46.3 percent. The Raptors have the rebounding advantage at 46.1 to 40.9. The Raptors are committing fewer turnovers at 12.3 vs 13.9 for the Heat. The Heat are making 14.6 three pointers on 37.9 percent from three point range. The Raptors are making 13.6 three pointers on 35.5 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Bam Adebayo 20.5, RJ Barrett 20.8 ASSISTS: Davion Mitchell 4.7, Scottie Barnes 6.3 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 8.7, Jakob Poeltl 7.5 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at TOR -1.0 TOTAL 239.0. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 41-37 Toronto Raptors 43-35 ATS Miami Heat 42-33 Sweat Barometer 1.4 Toronto Raptors 39-38 Sweat Barometer 0.8 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 43-34 Avg Over/Under Line 2.9 Toronto Raptors 33-45 Avg Over/Under Line -1.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 37-34 Toronto Raptors 41-33 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 31-43 Toronto Raptors 35-38

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Raptors

Miami HeatATS RECORDToronto RaptorsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road16-22, 42.0% -600Record at Home21-17, 55.0% 400Toronto Raptors
VS Toronto Raptors0-2, 0.0% -220VS Miami Heat2-0, 100.0% 200Toronto Raptors
vs Team .500 or Better21-29, 42.0% -1090vs Team .500 or Better20-29, 41.0% -1190Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog10-17, 37.0% -870Record As Home Favorite16-8, 67.0% 720Toronto Raptors
After 1 or More Days Off18-22, 45.0% -620After 1 or More Days Off23-22, 51.0% -120Toronto Raptors

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Heat

Miami HeatATS RECORDToronto RaptorsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home14-26, 35.0% -1200Miami Heat
VS Toronto Raptors3-1, 75.0% 190VS Miami Heat1-3, 25.0% -230Miami Heat
vs Team Under .50028-9, 76.0% 1810vs Team .500 or Better11-39, 22.0% -3190Miami Heat
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite10-7, 59.0% 230Toronto Raptors
After 1 or More Days Off48-40, 55.0% +400After 1 or More Days Off25-53, 32.0% -3330Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDToronto RaptorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-17, 54.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-20, 47.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-23, 43.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home43-34, 56.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road33-45, 42.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 21-15, 58.0% +450 Toronto Raptors Home Games: 19-18, 51.0% -80 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130 Toronto Raptors Home Games: 1-5, 17.0% -450

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 12-23, 34.0% -1208 Toronto Raptors Home Games: 18-17, 51.0% -62 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-4, 20.0% -309 Toronto Raptors Home Games: 5-1, 83.0% + 355

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 18-20, 47.0% +443 Toronto Raptors Home Games: 17-21, 45.0% 79 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% +222 Toronto Raptors Home Games: 1-5, 17.0% +76

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