May 11, 2025 6:00 PM EST

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets 2025-05-11 15:30:00.0

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The Oklahoma City Thunder are solid 73.7 percent favorites over the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder are shooting 49.9 percent from the field and the Nuggets are forecasted to shoot 47.9 percent. The Thunder have the rebounding advantage at 41.3 to 39.3. The Thunder are committing fewer turnovers at 12.4 vs 15.1 for the Nuggets. The Thunder are making 13.2 three pointers on 36.1 percent from three point range. The Nuggets are making 12.6 three pointers on 35.8 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Shai Gilgeous Alexander 37.6, Nikola Jokic 29.2 ASSISTS: Shai Gilgeous Alexander 7.3, Nikola Jokic 11.3 REBOUNDS: Isaiah Hartenstein 8.1, Nikola Jokic 11.2 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at DEN 6.5 TOTAL 227.5. WIN-LOSS Oklahoma City Thunder 73-17 Denver Nuggets 56-36 ATS Oklahoma City Thunder 58-30 Sweat Barometer 3.6 Denver Nuggets 45-46 Sweat Barometer -0.4 OVER-UNDER Oklahoma City Thunder 47-40 Avg Over/Under Line 0.1 Denver Nuggets 54-38 Avg Over/Under Line 7.7 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Oklahoma City Thunder 43-41 Denver Nuggets 47-42 OVER-UNDER PICKS Oklahoma City Thunder 37-47 Denver Nuggets 48-44

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road34-9, 79.0% 2500Record at Home30-16, 65.0% 1400Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Denver Nuggets3-4, 43.0% -140VS Oklahoma City Thunder4-3, 57.0% 70Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better34-13, 72.0% 1970vs Team .500 or Better22-25, 47.0% -550Oklahoma City Thunder
Record as Road Favorite32-8, 80.0% 2320Record as Home Underdog4-3, 57.0% 70Oklahoma City Thunder
Playing Back-to-Back Days24-18, 57.0% +420Playing Back-to-Back Days22-18, 55.0% +220Oklahoma City Thunder

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Oklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDDenver NuggetsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road26-19, 58.0% 700Record at Home37-11, 77.0% 2600Denver Nuggets
VS Denver Nuggets3-1, 75.0% 190VS Oklahoma City Thunder1-3, 25.0% -230Oklahoma City Thunder
vs Team .500 or Better39-24, 62.0% 1260vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520Oklahoma City Thunder
Record as Road Favorite17-11, 61.0% 490Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100.0% 100Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off62-28, 69.0% +3120After 1 or More Days Off61-29, 68.0% +2910Oklahoma City Thunder

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oklahoma City ThunderRECORDDenver NuggetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-21, 48.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-18, 61.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR25-20, 56.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-27, 44.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home47-40, 54.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road54-38, 59.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 25-17, 60.0% +630 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 21-25, 46.0% -650 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -240

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 16-22, 42.0% -744 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 21-25, 46.0% -589 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 2-4, 33.0% -218

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 20-23, 47.0% -1409 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 21-25, 46.0% 161 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oklahoma City Thunder Road Games: 0-5, 0.0% -500 Denver Nuggets Home Games: 3-3, 50.0% -31

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