AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Boise State winning 47.0% of simulations, and Utah State 53.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Boise State commits fewer turnovers in 31.0% of simulations and they go on to win 61.0% when they take care of the ball. Utah State wins 66.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Maddux Madsen is averaging 270.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Bryson Barnes is averaging 267.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST +3.0 --- Over/Under line is 55.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Boise State | ATS RECORD | Utah State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5-4-1 | All Games | 9-1-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 20-30-00 | Home Games | 4-0-0 | Utah State |
| When Favored | 4-3-1 | When Underdog | 6-0-0 | Utah State |
| Conference Opp | 3-3-1 | Conference Opp | 6-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-2-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-1-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Boise State | ATS RECORD | Utah State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-6-0 | All Games | 6-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 60-10-00 | Home Games | 1-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 2-6-0 | When Underdog | 6-2-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 5-3-0 | Conference Opp | 2-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boise State | O-U-P RECORD | Utah State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-5-0 | No Edge |
| On Road & Neutral Field | 1-4-0 | On Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 13-0-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road & Neutral Field '24 | 6-0-0 | On Road & Neutral Field '24 | 5-1-0 | OVER |
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