Indiana is a heavy favorite winning 99.0% of simulations over Purdue. Fernando Mendoza is averaging 105.0 passing yards and 1.23 TDs per simulation and Kaelon Black is projected for 83.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 1.0% of simulations where Purdue wins, Ryan Browne averages 1.04 TD passes vs 0.81 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.35 TDs to 1.11 interceptions. Devin Mockobee averages 70.0 rushing yards and 0.71 rushing TDs when Purdue wins and 59.0 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. Indiana has a 47.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR +28.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Indiana | ATS RECORD | Purdue | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 3-6-0 | All Games | 6-4-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 20-20-00 | Home Games | 4-1-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 2-6-0 | When Underdog | 5-4-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 2-4-0 | Conference Opp | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-3-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Indiana | ATS RECORD | Purdue | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 13-9-0 | All Games | 9-13-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 100-00-00 | Home Games | 0-11-0 | Indiana |
| When Favored | 5-9-0 | When Underdog | 9-4-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 8-6-0 | Conference Opp | 7-8-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Indiana | O-U-P RECORD | Purdue | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-7-0 | UNDER |
| On Road & Neutral Field | 2-2-0 | On Road & Neutral Field | 2-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 11-1-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road & Neutral Field '24 | 5-0-0 | On Road & Neutral Field '24 | 6-0-0 | OVER |
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