November 25, 2025 4:56 AM EST

Ball State vs Miami (OH) 2025-11-29 12:00:00.0

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Miami (OH) is a heavy favorite winning 88.0% of simulations over Ball State. Dequan Finn is averaging 183.0 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per simulation and Dequan Finn is projected for 57.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12.0% of simulations where Ball State wins, Kiael Kelly averages 1.43 TD passes vs 1.03 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.62 TDs to 1.47 interceptions. Qua Ashley averages 72.0 rushing yards and 0.86 rushing TDs when Ball State wins and 60.0 yards and 0.38 TDs in losses. Miami (OH) has a 41.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIAOH -17.5 --- Over/Under line is 43.0

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Ball StateATS RECORDMiami (OH)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-4-0All Games 5-5-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 30-30-00Home Games 1-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-4-0When Favored 4-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 4-3-0Conference Opp 4-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 4-2-0Opp Under .500 3-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Ball StateATS RECORDMiami (OH)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-4-0All Games 8-8-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 0-7-0 No Edge
When Underdog 10-1-0When Favored 0-7-0No Edge
Conference Opp 5-3-0Conference Opp 4-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0Opp Under .500 1-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ball StateO-U-P RECORDMiami (OH)O-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-4-1UNDER
On Road 2-4-0At Home 3-1-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 11-0-0All Totals Last Season 13-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 7-0-0At Home Last Season 7-0-0OVER

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