AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida State winning 59.0% of simulations, and Florida 41.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida State commits fewer turnovers in 27.0% of simulations and they go on to win 71.0% when they take care of the ball. Florida wins 54.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Gavin Blackwell is averaging 46.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. DJ Lagway is averaging 40.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLA -0.5 --- Over/Under line is 50.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Florida State | ATS RECORD | Florida | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 3-7-0 | All Games | 3-7-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-40-00 | Home Games | 2-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-2-0 | When Favored | 0-3-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Florida State | ATS RECORD | Florida | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-13-0 | All Games | 10-11-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 80-20-00 | Home Games | 1-11-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 8-2-0 | When Favored | 1-9-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-5-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Florida State | O-U-P RECORD | Florida | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-7-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-3-0 | At Home | 1-4-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-5-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-1-0 | OVER |
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