November 25, 2025 4:56 AM EST

Fresno State vs San Jose State 2025-11-29 22:30:00.0

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Fresno State is a solid favorite with a 66.0% chance to beat San Jose State. Bryson Donelson is projected for 90.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34.0% of simulations where San Jose State wins, Walker Eget averages 2.49 TD passes vs 1.1 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.33 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Floyd Chalk IV averages 43.0 rushing yards and 0.35 rushing TDs when San Jose State wins and 39.0 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. Fresno State has a 39.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SJST +2.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Fresno StateATS RECORDSan Jose StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-4-0All Games 4-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 30-20-00Home Games 2-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 1-4-0When Underdog 2-2-0No Edge
Conference Opp 3-4-0Conference Opp 2-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-2-0Opp .500+ Record 2-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Fresno StateATS RECORDSan Jose StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-6-0All Games 7-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 70-10-00Home Games 0-6-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-5-0When Underdog 7-0-0San Jose State
Conference Opp 3-4-0Conference Opp 3-4-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 5-1-0Opp Under .500 2-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Fresno StateO-U-P RECORDSan Jose StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-5-0UNDER
On Road 3-2-0At Home 2-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 10-2-0All Totals Last Season 10-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-2-0At Home Last Season 6-0-0OVER

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