AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Kentucky winning 52.0% of simulations, and Louisville 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Kentucky commits fewer turnovers in 7.0% of simulations and they go on to win 64.0% when they take care of the ball. Louisville wins 52.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dante Dowdell is averaging 55.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Maurice Turner is averaging 201.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -3.0 --- Over/Under line is 47.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Kentucky | ATS RECORD | Louisville | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5-5-0 | All Games | 3-7-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-30-00 | Home Games | 0-6-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 5-3-0 | When Favored | 2-6-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-4-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Kentucky | ATS RECORD | Louisville | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 11-9-0 | All Games | 12-11-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 80-00-00 | Home Games | 2-10-0 | Kentucky |
| When Underdog | 9-0-0 | When Favored | 2-10-0 | Kentucky |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-4-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 5-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-0-0 | Louisville |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kentucky | O-U-P RECORD | Louisville | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-3-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road & Neutral Field | 2-1-1 | On Road & Neutral Field | 1-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-3-0 | All Totals Last Season | 11-1-0 | OVER |
| On Road & Neutral Field '24 | 3-0-0 | On Road & Neutral Field '24 | 7-0-0 | OVER |
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