AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Middle Tennessee winning 48.0% of simulations, and New Mexico State 52.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Middle Tennessee commits fewer turnovers in 25.0% of simulations and they go on to win 62.0% when they take care of the ball. New Mexico State wins 62.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nicholas Vattiato is averaging 261.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. TJ Pride is averaging 57.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMXST -4.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Middle Tennessee | ATS RECORD | New Mexico State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2-4-0 | All Games | 4-3-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-20-00 | Home Games | 1-0-0 | New Mexico State |
| When Underdog | 2-4-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 1-3-0 | Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-1-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Middle Tennessee | ATS RECORD | New Mexico State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-7-0 | All Games | 11-7-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 90-00-00 | Home Games | 1-6-0 | Middle Tennessee |
| When Underdog | 9-2-0 | When Favored | 0-5-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 6-6-0 | Conference Opp | 8-4-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 4-2-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Middle Tennessee | O-U-P RECORD | New Mexico State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-2-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-1-0 | At Home | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-1-0 | All Totals Last Season | 9-0-1 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-0-1 | OVER |
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