November 25, 2025 4:56 AM EST

North Carolina vs North Carolina State 2025-11-29 19:30:00.0

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North Carolina State is a solid favorite with a 70.0% chance to beat North Carolina. Hollywood Smothers is projected for 90.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30.0% of simulations where North Carolina wins, Giovanni Lopez averages 1.29 TD passes vs 0.99 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.7 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Jordan Shipp averages 56.0 rushing yards and 0.59 rushing TDs when North Carolina wins and 50.0 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. North Carolina State has a 62.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

North CarolinaATS RECORDNorth Carolina StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 4-5-1All Games 5-5-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 30-20-00Home Games 3-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 3-4-1When Favored 2-2-0No Edge
Conference Opp 2-2-1Conference Opp 5-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-1-0Opp Under .500 1-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

North CarolinaATS RECORDNorth Carolina StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-12-1All Games 8-15-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 100-00-10Home Games 0-14-0North Carolina
When Underdog 10-1-0When Favored 0-13-0No Edge
Conference Opp 7-7-0Conference Opp 6-9-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-3-0Opp Under .500 1-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

North CarolinaO-U-P RECORDNorth Carolina StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-5-0UNDER
On Road 1-4-0At Home 2-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-3-0All Totals Last Season 11-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 3-2-0At Home Last Season 7-1-0OVER

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