November 25, 2025 4:56 AM EST

Northwestern vs Illinois 2025-11-29 19:30:00.0

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Northwestern winning 42.0% of simulations, and Illinois 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Northwestern commits fewer turnovers in 21.0% of simulations and they go on to win 53.0% when they take care of the ball. Illinois wins 68.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Chase Farrell is averaging 57.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Aidan Laughery is averaging 54.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL -7.0 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

NorthwesternATS RECORDIllinoisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-3-0All Games 7-3-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 30-10-00Home Games 4-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-1-0When Favored 5-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 4-1-0Conference Opp 3-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 6-1-0Opp .500+ Record 3-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

NorthwesternATS RECORDIllinoisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-12-0All Games 12-11-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 2-11-0 No Edge
When Underdog 9-2-0When Favored 1-11-0No Edge
Conference Opp 7-7-0Conference Opp 7-8-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-6-0Opp Under .500 2-2-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

NorthwesternO-U-P RECORDIllinoisO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-5-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-5-0No Edge
On Road 2-2-0At Home 1-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-2-0All Totals Last Season 9-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-1-0At Home Last Season 5-2-0OVER

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