November 25, 2025 4:56 AM EST

Southern Methodist vs California 2025-11-29 20:00:00.0

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Southern Methodist is a heavy favorite winning 83.0% of simulations over California. Kevin Jennings is averaging 295.0 passing yards and 2.32 TDs per simulation and TJ Harden is projected for 155.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17.0% of simulations where California wins, Devin Brown averages 1.3 TD passes vs 1.3 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.71 TDs to 1.67 interceptions. Brandon High averages 60.0 rushing yards and 0.82 rushing TDs when California wins and 51.0 yards and 0.42 TDs in losses. Southern Methodist has a 62.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CAL +12.5 --- Over/Under line is 52.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Southern MethodistATS RECORDCaliforniaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-4-0All Games 5-5-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 20-20-00Home Games 1-3-0 No Edge
When Favored 3-3-0When Underdog 5-2-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 5-4-0Non-Conference Opp 4-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-3-0Opp .500+ Record 2-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Southern MethodistATS RECORDCaliforniaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-11-0All Games 13-10-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 2-9-0 No Edge
When Favored 1-11-0When Underdog 12-1-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 11-11-0Non-Conference Opp 11-8-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 3-0-0Opp .500+ Record 5-2-0Southern Methodist

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Southern MethodistO-U-P RECORDCaliforniaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 3-5-2UNDER
On Road 2-2-0At Home 1-2-1UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-2-0All Totals Last Season 9-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 5-1-0OVER

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