November 25, 2025 4:56 AM EST

Troy vs Southern Miss 2025-11-29 15:30:00.0

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Troy winning 43.0% of simulations, and Southern Miss 57.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Troy commits fewer turnovers in 15.0% of simulations and they go on to win 58.0% when they take care of the ball. Southern Miss wins 65.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trey Cooley is averaging 78.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Braylon Braxton is averaging 310.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 50.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

TroyATS RECORDSouthern MissATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-4-0All Games 4-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 40-10-00Home Games 2-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-2-0When Favored 3-4-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 2-2-0Non-Conference Opp 3-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 2-2-0Opp .500+ Record 1-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

TroyATS RECORDSouthern MissATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-6-0All Games 6-8-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 60-10-00Home Games 1-6-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-2-0When Favored 0-5-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 2-3-0Non-Conference Opp 5-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-2-0Opp Under .500 1-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

TroyO-U-P RECORDSouthern MissO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-5-0UNDER
On Road 2-3-0At Home 3-2-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 8-3-0All Totals Last Season 8-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 4-1-0OVER

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