August 25, 2025 4:47 AM EST

Boise State vs South Florida 2025-08-28 16:30:00.0

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Boise State winning 59.0% of simulations, and South Florida 41.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Boise State commits fewer turnovers in 32.0% of simulations and they go on to win 68.0% when they take care of the ball. South Florida wins 50.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Taylen Green is averaging 184.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Cartevious Norton is averaging 70.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SFLA +6.0 --- Over/Under line is 64.0

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Boise StateATS RECORDSouth FloridaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-0-0When Underdog 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Boise StateATS RECORDSouth FloridaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-6-0All Games 8-6-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 60-10-00Home Games 0-5-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-6-0When Underdog 7-2-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 3-3-0Non-Conference Opp 5-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-1-0Opp .500+ Record 1-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boise StateO-U-P RECORDSouth FloridaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 13-0-0All Totals Last Season 9-2-1OVER
On Road Last Season 6-0-0At Home Last Season 4-0-1OVER

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