Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 84.0% of simulations over Florida State. Ty Simpson is averaging 182.0 passing yards and 1.06 TDs per simulation and Jam Miller is projected for 80.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 16.0% of simulations where Florida State wins, Thomas Castellanos averages 1.22 TD passes vs 1.12 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.59 TDs to 1.47 interceptions. Malik Benson averages 58.0 rushing yards and 0.42 rushing TDs when Florida State wins and 52.0 yards and 0.22 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 45.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST +14.0 --- Over/Under line is 50.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Alabama | ATS RECORD | Florida State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 0-0-0 | All Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-00-00 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 0-0-0 | When Underdog | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp No Games Played | N/A | Opp No Games Played | N/A | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Alabama | ATS RECORD | Florida State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 12-11-0 | All Games | 9-13-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 100-10-00 | Home Games | 1-11-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 2-11-0 | When Underdog | 8-2-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 5-4-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Alabama | O-U-P RECORD | Florida State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-0-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| On Road | 0-0-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 11-1-0 | All Totals Last Season | 6-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-0-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-4-0 | OVER |
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