August 25, 2025 4:47 AM EST

Ball State vs Purdue 2025-08-30 11:00:00.0

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Purdue is a heavy favorite winning 85.0% of simulations over Ball State. Ryan Browne is averaging 188.0 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and Ryan Browne is projected for 86.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15.0% of simulations where Ball State wins, Kiael Kelly averages 1.59 TD passes vs 0.84 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.79 TDs to 1.06 interceptions. Qua Ashley averages 89.0 rushing yards and 1.11 rushing TDs when Ball State wins and 75.0 yards and 0.56 TDs in losses. Purdue has a 26.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR -17.5 --- Over/Under line is 50.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Ball StateATS RECORDPurdueATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Ball StateATS RECORDPurdueATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-4-0All Games 9-13-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 90-10-00Home Games 0-11-0 No Edge
When Underdog 10-1-0When Favored 0-9-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 5-1-0Non-Conference Opp 2-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 3-0-0Opp Under .500 1-2-0Ball State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ball StateO-U-P RECORDPurdueO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 11-0-0All Totals Last Season 10-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 7-0-0At Home Last Season 4-1-0OVER

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