Mississippi State is a heavy favorite winning 75.0% of simulations over Southern Miss. Blake Shapen is averaging 256.0 passing yards and 2.07 TDs per simulation and Fluff Bothwell is projected for 64.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25.0% of simulations where Southern Miss wins, Braylon Braxton averages 1.6 TD passes vs 0.51 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.86 TDs to 0.65 interceptions. Braylon Braxton averages 140.0 rushing yards and 1.45 rushing TDs when Southern Miss wins and 130.0 yards and 0.8 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 30.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS +11.5 --- Over/Under line is 61.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 0-0-0 | All Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-00-00 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 0-0-0 | When Underdog | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp No Games Played | N/A | Opp No Games Played | N/A | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-12-0 | All Games | 6-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 80-10-00 | Home Games | 1-6-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 0-10-0 | When Underdog | 6-3-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-6-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 5-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-2-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-4-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Mississippi State | O-U-P RECORD | Southern Miss | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-0-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| On Road | 0-0-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-1-0 | All Totals Last Season | 8-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-1-0 | OVER |
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