August 25, 2025 4:47 AM EST

Toledo vs Kentucky 2025-08-30 11:45:00.0

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Kentucky is a heavy favorite winning 77.0% of simulations over Toledo. Zach Calzada is averaging 242.0 passing yards and 2.0 TDs per simulation and Dante Dowdell is projected for 55.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23.0% of simulations where Toledo wins, Tucker Gleason averages 1.33 TD passes vs 0.61 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 0.85 interceptions. Junior Vandeross III averages 95.0 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Toledo wins and 84.0 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Kentucky has a 15.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KY -8.0 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

ToledoATS RECORDKentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

ToledoATS RECORDKentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-8-0All Games 11-9-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 70-10-00Home Games 3-9-0 No Edge
When Underdog 7-0-0When Favored 2-9-0Toledo
Non-Conference Opp 3-4-0Non-Conference Opp 4-4-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-4-0Opp .500+ Record 5-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

ToledoO-U-P RECORDKentuckyO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 11-1-0All Totals Last Season 7-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-1-0At Home Last Season 4-3-0OVER

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