September 25, 2023 9:30 AM EST

Troy vs Georgia State 9/30/2023

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Georgia State is a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat Troy. Marcus Carroll is projected for 171 rushing yards and a 89% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where Troy wins, Gunnar Watson averages 1.7 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 0.71 interceptions. Kimani Vidal averages 103 rushing yards and 1.23 rushing TDs when Troy wins and 93 yards and 0.68 TDs in losses. Georgia State has a 28% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is GAST -3 --- Over/Under line is 51

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

TroyATS RECORDGeorgia StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-3-0All Games3-0-0Georgia State
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games1-0-0Georgia State
When Underdog0-1-0When Favored2-0-0Georgia State
Conference Opp0-1-0Conference Opp1-0-0Georgia State
Opp .500+ Record0-3-0Opp Under .5002-0-0Georgia State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

TroyATS RECORDGeorgia StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8/4/2000All Games6/5/2000Troy
Road & Neutral Field4/1/2000Home Games3/3/2000Troy
When Underdog4-0-0When Favored2/2/2000Troy
Conference Opp5/1/2000Conference Opp2/3/2000Troy
Opp Under .5003/2/2000Opp .500+ Record4/1/2000Georgia State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

TroyO-U-P RECORDGeorgia StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/2/2000All Totals (O-U-P)1/2/2000UNDER
On Road1-0-0At Home0-1-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season4/7/2000All Totals Last Season5/6/2000UNDER
On Road Last Season2/3/2000At Home Last Season3/3/2000UNDER

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