Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
Win Probability
Moneyline
AVL
72.4% win prob
Moneyline
FEN
9.1% win prob
Aston Villa travels to Fenerbahçe in a Champions League clash where the simulation decisively favors the visitors. Villa's attacking threat drives the projection; the model sees them finding the net at a rate that suggests a comfortable margin. Fenerbahçe will need to compress space and limit Villa's opportunities in transition, the difference between a narrow loss and a rout. AccuScore's record on away-side calls with this win probability shape stands at 90% over 51 graded games. For the hosts to overturn the lean, they would need to suffocate Villa's transition game and convert their limited chances with precision.
Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Aston Villa 72% to win, Fenerbahçe 9%, with a 19% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Aston Villa the more likely winner at 72%, with a 19% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Fenerbahçe a 9% chance of beating Aston Villa, with 72% for Aston Villa and 19% for a draw. Fenerbahçe are at home but the underdog on these numbers.