How to use AccuScore

If you used AccuScore before, the forecasting is the same and most of the numbers are the ones you already know — Side Value is now called EV, and the Money Line percentage is the win probability. What is new is the tiering, the record behind each pick, and the bet slip. Five minutes here covers all of it.

What changed

Zero to reading a pick

1. 1

   Start on the board

   The front page is every game we price today, newest first. The tabs across the top filter by sport; the chips below filter by tier and by whether a game is live.

2. 2

   Read one card

   Left and right are the two teams with their records. The bar between them is our win probability. Underneath are the markets we price — moneyline, spread or run line, and total — each showing the best available price and its EV.

3. 3

   Some cards are locked — the numbers still exist

   Every game on the board is simulated and has a win probability, a projected score and a priced edge. On a free account, Gold and Platinum cards keep those hidden and show “with Pro” instead. Nothing is missing from the model on a locked card; it is the same analysis, withheld. Silver games are shown in full, free, and one Gold pick is published free every day.

4. 4

   Look at the record under the pick

   “Record on picks like this” is the part that matters most and the part that is easiest to skip. It shows how picks in this same pattern have actually done, and over how many bets. It is one of the three signals behind a tier — a pick can still reach Gold on EV and sharp money without it, so read the record rather than assuming the tier implies one.

5. 5

   Open the game

   The game page adds the projected score, a slider to explore any spread or total rather than just the posted line, player props where we have them, the sportsbooks carrying the price, and the historical context behind the pick.

6. 6

   Build a slip

   Tap any price to add it. The slip shows combined odds and a payout for a straight bet or a parlay. Take it to whichever book you use — we do not accept bets.

7. 7

   Check our record before you trust any of it

   The Accuracy page is every pick we have published and graded, wins and losses together. Read it before you follow anything here. It is the only honest basis for deciding whether the model is worth listening to.

Try it

Everything on the site, explained by using it. The card and sliders show a real, free game from today's board; the calculators use numbers you set yourself. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Check our record

The words on a card

Win probability

How often our simulation says a team wins, from thousands of runs of the same game. Not a prediction that it will happen — a frequency.

EV (expected value)

The gap between our probability and the bookmaker's price, expressed as a percentage. Positive EV means the price is longer than our model thinks it should be. It says nothing about whether this particular bet wins.

Edge

The specific bet where that gap is largest on a given game — the market, the side, and the price.

Tier

How many of three independent signals agree on a pick: positive EV, a qualifying accuracy pattern, and sharp money. All three is Platinum, any two is Gold, EV alone is Silver. Without positive EV there is no tier at all.

Pattern / accuracy signal

A group of past picks that share a shape — a league, a probability range, an EV range. A pick lands in a pattern, and that pattern has a record. We only count patterns with a large enough sample.

n

How many graded bets are behind a record. A high hit rate over n=12 means nothing; the same rate over n=200 means something. We show n so you can tell the difference.

Bet slip

Where the picks you tap collect, so you can see combined odds and a payout before you place anything with a book. AccuScore never takes a bet — it is a worksheet, not a bookmaker.

What this is not