Every graded pick, grouped the same way the tier is decided.
Groups of past picks that returned a profit over a sample of 100–300 graded bets. A pick landing in one of these earns its accuracy signal — one of three signals behind a tier, alongside positive EV and sharp money. Two of the three make a Gold pick, so a pick can reach Gold on EV and sharp money alone without matching anything here. Where today's board has a Gold or Platinum pick in a pattern, it is linked.
| Pattern | Sport | Market | W–L | N | Win% | ROI | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga · 10-20% win probability · 7.5%+ EV | Soccer | 1X2 | 32–132 | 164 | 20% | +67.7% | — |
| MLS · 0–1.5% EV | Soccer | 1X2 | 53–54 | 107 | 50% | +39.4% | — |
| 40-50% win probability · 7.5%+ EV | MLB | Moneyline | 74–70 | 144 | 51% | +37.4% | — |
| MIA · 7.5%+ EV | NBA | Moneyline | 119–148 | 267 | 45% | +37.1% | — |
| home favourite · model within 0-1 of the line | NFL | Spread | 124–56–1 | 181 | 69% | +31.3% | DEN @ KC → |
| OTT · 7.5%+ EV | NHL | Moneyline | 62–61 | 123 | 50% | +31.3% | — |
| DRAW · 4.5–7.5% EV | Soccer | 1X2 | 64–117 | 181 | 35% | +30.7% | — |
| DEN · 7.5%+ EV | NBA | Moneyline | 89–120 | 209 | 43% | +30.0% | — |
| 0-10% win probability · Away | Soccer | 1X2 | 15–214 | 229 | 7% | +29.1% | — |
| 40-50% win probability · Away | MLB | Moneyline | 137–127 | 264 | 52% | +27.9% | — |
| 20-30% win probability · 0–1.5% EV | Soccer | 1X2 | 58–121 | 179 | 32% | +27.8% | — |
| 20-30% win probability · Draw | Soccer | 1X2 | 90–196 | 286 | 31% | +27.3% | ROM @ TOR → |
| leicester city · 7.5%+ EV | Soccer | 1X2 | 42–62 | 104 | 40% | +27.3% | — |
| augsburg · 7.5%+ EV | Soccer | 1X2 | 51–87 | 138 | 37% | +27.2% | — |
| MIA · Home | NBA | Moneyline | 131–80 | 211 | 62% | +26.7% | — |
| 0-10% win probability · 7.5%+ EV | Soccer | 1X2 | 15–229 | 244 | 6% | +25.6% | — |
| rennes | Soccer | 1X2 | 60–59 | 119 | 50% | +25.4% | — |
| sampdoria · Home | Soccer | 1X2 | 47–55 | 102 | 46% | +25.0% | — |
| model within 0-1 of the line · Over | NFL | Total | 79–42 | 121 | 65% | +24.6% | — |
| CLS · Home | NHL | Moneyline | 89–55 | 144 | 62% | +24.6% | — |
| brentford · 7.5%+ EV | Soccer | 1X2 | 39–70 | 109 | 36% | +23.6% | — |
| model within 0-1 of the line · either side | NFL | Total | 151–83 | 234 | 65% | +23.2% | — |
| WAS · Away | NHL | Moneyline | 138–83 | 221 | 62% | +22.3% | — |
| DEN · Away | NBA | Moneyline | 123–144 | 267 | 46% | +22.2% | — |
| 40-50% win probability · Home | NBA | Moneyline | 48–72 | 120 | 40% | +22.0% | — |
| Date (ET)▼ | Matchup↕ | League↕ | Pick↕ | Prob↕ | Tier↕ | Result↕ | P/L↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | NE @ CHI | MLS | CHI ML(moneyline) | 51%+102 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | WAS @ PHI | NFL | Under 44.5(total) | 56%-115 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | MIA @ LV | NFL | LV -3.5(spread) | 58%+105 | GOLD | WIN | +$105 |
| Sep 13 | ARI @ LAC | NFL | Under 47.5(total) | 64%-112 | GOLD | WIN | +$89 |
| Sep 13 | TEX @ ARI | MLB | TEX +1.5(spread) | 67%-187 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | SEA @ ATH | MLB | ATH +1.5(spread) | 64%-137 | GOLD | WIN | +$73 |
| Sep 13 | ATL @ RSO | La Liga | RSO ML(moneyline) | 34%+253 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | JUV @ SAS | Serie A | Draw(moneyline) | 28%+284 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | PIT @ CHC | MLB | CHC ML(moneyline) | 64%-162 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | CHW @ STL | MLB | STL ML(moneyline) | 58%-101 | GOLD | WIN | +$99 |
| Sep 13 | CIN @ MIL | MLB | CIN ML(moneyline) | 45%+177 | GOLD | WIN | +$177 |
| Sep 13 | LAD @ MIA | MLB | LAD -1.5(spread) | 45%+126 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | HOU @ TB | MLB | HOU ML(moneyline) | 58%+111 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | BAL @ TOR | MLB | TOR ML(moneyline) | 62%-148 | GOLD | WIN | +$68 |
| Sep 13 | KC @ BOS | MLB | KC ML(moneyline) | 38%+175 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | LAA @ WAS | MLB | LAA +1.5(spread) | 66%-175 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | NYM @ NYY | MLB | NYM ML(moneyline) | 48%+155 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | NO @ DET | NFL | Under 49.5(total) | 64%-101 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | BUF @ HOU | NFL | HOU +1.5(spread) | 56%-109 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | TB @ CIN | NFL | Under 50.5(total) | 60%-110 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | ATL @ PIT | NFL | Under 40.5(total) | 60%-101 | GOLD | WIN | +$99 |
| Sep 13 | NYJ @ TEN | NFL | TEN -1.5(spread) | 63%+100 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | CHI @ CAR | NFL | CHI -3(spread) | 59%-105 | GOLD | WIN | +$95 |
| Sep 13 | BAL @ IND | NFL | Over 48.5(total) | 51%-102 | GOLD | WIN | +$98 |
| Sep 13 | MCI @ MUN | EPL | Over 3.5(total) | 46%+130 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | FCB @ ELV | Bundesliga | Draw(moneyline) | 13%+808 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | BAR @ LEV | La Liga | Under 4.5(total) | 82%-161 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | HAM @ RBL | Bundesliga | Draw(moneyline) | 22%+433 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | BRI @ COV | EPL | Draw(moneyline) | 30%+290 | GOLD | LOSS | -$100 |
| Sep 13 | MLG @ CEL | La Liga | Draw(moneyline) | 30%+277 | GOLD | WIN | +$277 |
| 10W–20L · 30 picks · $100/pick | -$820 | ||||||
Each league's own record over a large sample. A group of thousands of games can never sit inside the 100–300 window above, so none of these count towards a signal — they are the widest evidence we have. Only leagues we simulate are listed.
| Market | Time | W–L | N | Win% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | all time | 2084–1677–114 | 3,875 | 55% | +5.6% |
| Spread | 3 years | 423–349–31 | 803 | 55% | +4.4% |
| Total | all time | 2058–1793–54 | 3,905 | 53% | +2.0% |
| Total | 3 years | 405–356–13 | 774 | 53% | +1.6% |
| Market | Time | W–L | N | Win% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 year | 147–235 | 382 | 38% | +3.3% |
| Market | Time | W–L | N | Win% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1 year | 350–302–11 | 663 | 54% | +2.4% |
| Total | 3 years | 529–469–16 | 1,014 | 53% | +1.2% |
| Market | Time | W–L | N | Win% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | all time | 6859–9249 | 16,108 | 43% | +2.1% |
| Moneyline | 3 years | 1398–2164 | 3,562 | 39% | +0.3% |
| Market | Time | W–L | N | Win% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | all time | 1363–2149 | 3,512 | 39% | +1.4% |
| Market | Time | W–L | N | Win% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 1 year | 997–1059 | 2,056 | 48% | +0.6% |
| Market | Time | W–L | N | Win% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | all time | 1472–2921 | 4,393 | 34% | +0.5% |
Results are derived from the stored projection and the final score. Odds are shown where the feed carried a price; blank means no price was recorded for that market.
Every pick is graded from the archive of completed games and grouped by probability band, EV band, odds, line, model-vs-line gap, team and league. A pattern counts towards a pick's accuracy signal at n between 100 and 300 with ROI of 5% or better. Accuracy is one of three signals behind a tier — positive EV and sharp money are the others, and two of the three make a Gold pick. ROI is flat-stake net return per unit risked at the odds actually available. EV bands are shown halved, matching every EV on the site; win rate and ROI are measured outcomes and are shown as they are.