Every graded pick, grouped the same way the tier is decided.
Winning patterns
n 100–300 · ROI ≥ 5%308 of 308
Groups of past picks that returned a profit over a sample of 100–300 graded bets. A pick landing in one of these earns its accuracy signal — one of three signals behind a tier, alongside positive EV and sharp money. Two of the three make a Gold pick, so a pick can reach Gold on EV and sharp money alone without matching anything here. Where today's board has a Gold or Platinum pick in a pattern, it is linked.
Pattern
Sport
Market
Time
W–L
N
Win%
ROI
Today
40-50% win probability · 7.5%+ EV
MLB
Moneyline
1 year
70–49
119
59%
+69.2%
—
Bundesliga · 10-20% win probability · 7.5%+ EV
Soccer
1X2
all time
32–132
164
20%
+67.7%
—
odds +100 to +200
MLB
Moneyline
1 month
75–38
113
66%
+53.5%
—
40-50% win probability · Away
MLB
Moneyline
1 year
129–97
226
57%
+46.5%
—
AL
MLB
Moneyline
1 month
66–41
107
62%
+42.1%
—
50-60% win probability · 7.5%+ EV
MLB
Moneyline
1 year
162–114
276
59%
+39.6%
—
MLS · 0–1.5% EV
Soccer
1X2
3 years
54–55
109
50%
+38.8%
—
MIA · 7.5%+ EV
NBA
Moneyline
all time
119–148
267
45%
+37.1%
—
mlb
MLB
Moneyline
1 month
141–97
238
59%
+32.8%
—
20-30% win probability · Draw
Soccer
1X2
1 year
90–186
276
33%
+32.1%
—
DRAW · 4.5–7.5% EV
Soccer
1X2
1 year
62–112
174
36%
+32.0%
—
home favourite · model within 0-1 of the line
NFL
Spread
all time
124–56–1
181
69%
+31.3%
—
OTT · 7.5%+ EV
NHL
Moneyline
all time
62–61
123
50%
+31.3%
—
DEN · 7.5%+ EV
NBA
Moneyline
all time
89–120
209
43%
+30.0%
—
0-10% win probability · Away
Soccer
1X2
all time
15–214
229
7%
+29.1%
—
40-50% win probability · Home
MLB
Moneyline
1 year
71–60
131
54%
+27.5%
—
leicester city · 7.5%+ EV
Soccer
1X2
all time
42–62
104
40%
+27.3%
—
augsburg · 7.5%+ EV
Soccer
1X2
all time
51–87
138
37%
+27.2%
—
MIA · Home
NBA
Moneyline
all time
131–80
211
62%
+26.7%
—
20-30% win probability · 0–1.5% EV
Soccer
1X2
3 years
58–122
180
32%
+26.6%
—
0-10% win probability · 7.5%+ EV
Soccer
1X2
all time
15–229
244
6%
+25.6%
—
NL
MLB
Moneyline
1 month
75–56
131
57%
+25.2%
—
rennes
Soccer
1X2
all time
59–59
118
50%
+25.0%
—
sampdoria · Home
Soccer
1X2
all time
47–55
102
46%
+25.0%
—
brentford · 7.5%+ EV
Soccer
1X2
all time
39–69
108
36%
+24.8%
—
Recent Picks
GOLD & PLATINUM · FINISHED · ET
Last 7 days · Gold & Platinum
60–63 on 123 graded picks
49% hit rate
ROI · +0.1u
Last 30 days · 180–222 on 402 graded picks
45% hit rate-0.0% ROI
Aug 31
GOLDLOSS-$100
PHI @ ARIMLB
ARI ML(moneyline)55% · +100
Aug 31
GOLDWIN+$113
NYY @ LAAMLB
LAA ML(moneyline)53% · +113
Aug 31
PLATWIN+$79
CHW @ HOUMLB
HOU ML(moneyline)67% · -126
Aug 31
GOLDLOSS-$100
ATH @ TEXMLB
ATH ML(moneyline)42% · +217
Aug 31
GOLDLOSS-$100
DET @ MINMLB
DET ML(moneyline)53% · +135
Aug 31
PLATWIN+$96
MIL @ CHCMLB
CHC ML(moneyline)59% · -104
Aug 31
GOLDLOSS-$100
SEA @ BOSMLB
SEA ML(moneyline)48% · +142
Aug 31
GOLDWIN+$104
MIA @ WASMLB
WAS ML(moneyline)54% · +104
Aug 31
GOLDWIN+$173
NYM @ TBMLB
NYM ML(moneyline)48% · +173
Aug 31
GOLDLOSS-$100
SD @ CINMLB
CIN ML(moneyline)52% · +137
Aug 31
GOLDWIN+$83
SF @ ATLMLB
SF +1.5(spread)65% · -120
Aug 31
GOLDLOSS-$100
RAY @ BARLa Liga
Under 4.5(total)67% · -149
Aug 31
GOLDLOSS-$100
ARS @ AVLEPL
Draw(moneyline)28% · +365
Aug 31
GOLDWIN+$63
GET @ OSALa Liga
Under 2(total)60% · -159
Aug 31
GOLDLOSS-$100
ROM @ LECSerie A
Draw(moneyline)24% · +340
7W–8L · 15 picks · $100/pick-$88
Date (ET)▼
Matchup↕
League↕
Pick↕
Prob↕
Tier↕
Result↕
P/L↕
Aug 31
PHI @ ARI
MLB
ARI ML(moneyline)
55%+100
GOLD
LOSS
-$100
Aug 31
NYY @ LAA
MLB
LAA ML(moneyline)
53%+113
GOLD
WIN
+$113
Aug 31
CHW @ HOU
MLB
HOU ML(moneyline)
67%-126
PLAT
WIN
+$79
Aug 31
ATH @ TEX
MLB
ATH ML(moneyline)
42%+217
GOLD
LOSS
-$100
Aug 31
DET @ MIN
MLB
DET ML(moneyline)
53%+135
GOLD
LOSS
-$100
Aug 31
MIL @ CHC
MLB
CHC ML(moneyline)
59%-104
PLAT
WIN
+$96
Aug 31
SEA @ BOS
MLB
SEA ML(moneyline)
48%+142
GOLD
LOSS
-$100
Aug 31
MIA @ WAS
MLB
WAS ML(moneyline)
54%+104
GOLD
WIN
+$104
Aug 31
NYM @ TB
MLB
NYM ML(moneyline)
48%+173
GOLD
WIN
+$173
Aug 31
SD @ CIN
MLB
CIN ML(moneyline)
52%+137
GOLD
LOSS
-$100
Aug 31
SF @ ATL
MLB
SF +1.5(spread)
65%-120
GOLD
WIN
+$83
Aug 31
RAY @ BAR
La Liga
Under 4.5(total)
67%-149
GOLD
LOSS
-$100
Aug 31
ARS @ AVL
EPL
Draw(moneyline)
28%+365
GOLD
LOSS
-$100
Aug 31
GET @ OSA
La Liga
Under 2(total)
60%-159
GOLD
WIN
+$63
Aug 31
ROM @ LEC
Serie A
Draw(moneyline)
24%+340
GOLD
LOSS
-$100
7W–8L · 15 picks · $100/pick
-$88
Profitable at volume, by league
n > 300 · ROI > 0
Each league's own record over a large sample. A group of thousands of games can never sit inside the 100–300 window above, so none of these count towards a signal — they are the widest evidence we have. Only leagues we simulate are listed.
MLB
Market
Time
W–L
N
Win%
ROI
Moneyline
1 year
963–931
1,894
51%
+7.2%
Moneyline
3 years
2751–2713
5,464
50%
+0.5%
NFL
Market
Time
W–L
N
Win%
ROI
Spread
all time
2084–1677–114
3,875
55%
+5.6%
Spread
3 years
429–358–31
818
55%
+3.9%
Total
all time
2058–1793–54
3,905
53%
+2.0%
Total
3 years
414–362–13
789
53%
+1.8%
MLS
Market
Time
W–L
N
Win%
ROI
1X2
1 year
144–228
372
39%
+3.8%
NBA
Market
Time
W–L
N
Win%
ROI
Moneyline
all time
6859–9249
16,108
43%
+2.1%
Moneyline
3 years
1398–2164
3,562
39%
+0.3%
Bundesliga
Market
Time
W–L
N
Win%
ROI
1X2
all time
1361–2142
3,503
39%
+1.6%
NCAAF
Market
Time
W–L
N
Win%
ROI
Total
3 years
506–453–14
973
53%
+0.7%
Total
1 year
350–315–9
674
53%
+0.5%
EPL
Market
Time
W–L
N
Win%
ROI
1X2
all time
1470–2913
4,383
34%
+0.7%
Prediction Archive
0 GRADED GAMES
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Results are derived from the stored projection and the final score. Odds are shown where the feed carried a price; blank means no price was recorded for that market.
How we measure accuracy
Every pick is graded from the archive of completed games and grouped by probability band, EV band, odds, line, model-vs-line gap, team and league. A pattern counts towards a pick's accuracy signal at n between 100 and 300 with ROI of 5% or better. Accuracy is one of three signals behind a tier — positive EV and sharp money are the others, and two of the three make a Gold pick. ROI is flat-stake net return per unit risked at the odds actually available. EV bands are shown halved, matching every EV on the site; win rate and ROI are measured outcomes and are shown as they are.