January 12, 2026 4:34 PM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Philadelphia Flyers 1/12/2026

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 57.4 percent favorites over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Flyers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.9% compared to the Flyers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jonas Johansson 22, Dan Vladar 24 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.6, Owen Tippett 2.8 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.57, Travis Konecny 0.4 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 68% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Travis Konecny has a 56% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPhiladelphia FlyersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-7, 61% 355Record at Home11-9, 55% 51Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Philadelphia Flyers1-0, 100% 60VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better15-8, 65% 428vs Team .500 or Better10-9, 53% 226Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite3-5, 38% -280Record as Home Underdog4-6, 40% -173Philadelphia Flyers
After 1 or More Days Off18-13, 58% -2090After 1 or More Days Off17-15, 53% -1060Philadelphia Flyers

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPhiladelphia FlyersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-1, 50% -2Record at Home1-1, 50% -17Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Philadelphia Flyers0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-2, 33% -143vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -210Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite0-1, 0% -100Record as Home Underdog0-1, 0% -100EVEN
After 1 or More Days Off3-3, 50% -540After 1 or More Days Off2-4, 33% -376Philadelphia Flyers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPhiladelphia FlyersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-9, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-8, 53% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-1, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON17-10, 63% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home16-16, 50% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road13-14, 48% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 12-6, 67% -96 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 11-9, 55% +25 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -100 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 1-1, 50% -17

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 11-7, 61% +280 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 12-8, 60% 97 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -2 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 2-0, 100% +143

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 7-11, 39% -463 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 10-10, 50% -90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -9 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 0-2, 0% -200

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW