January 12, 2026 4:34 PM EST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche 1/12/2026

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The Colorado Avalanche are heavy 65.3 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Avalanche are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +9 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 33 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.9% compared to the Avalanche goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Joseph Woll 30, Trent Miner 21 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 4.3, Nathan MacKinnon 4.3 GOALS: Auston Matthews 0.57, Valeri Nichushkin 0.57 PTS: Auston Matthews has a 56% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nathan MacKinnon has a 70% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Avalanche

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDColorado AvalancheRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-11, 31% -555Record at Home16-2, 89% 572Colorado Avalanche
VS Colorado Avalanche0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-14, 30% -844vs Team .500 or Better12-6, 67% 119Colorado Avalanche
Record As Road Underdog4-6, 40% -135Record As Home Favorite16-2, 89% 572Colorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off14-17, 45% -2117After 1 or More Days Off25-7, 78% -1755Colorado Avalanche

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDColorado AvalancheRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-4, 0% -400Record at Home4-0, 100% 175Colorado Avalanche
VS Colorado Avalanche0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -307vs Team .500 or Better3-0, 100% 144Colorado Avalanche
Record As Road Underdog0-3, 0% -300Record As Home Favorite4-0, 100% 175Colorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off3-3, 50% -523After 1 or More Days Off7-0, 100% -356Colorado Avalanche

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDColorado AvalancheRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-6, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-10, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-0, 100% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-15, 52% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home20-12, 62% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road15-13, 54% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 8-8, 50% -7 Colorado Avalanche Home Games: 12-6, 67% -27 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 1-3, 25% -238 Colorado Avalanche Home Games: 3-1, 75% +33

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 9-7, 56% +84 Colorado Avalanche Home Games: 16-2, 89% 572 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-1, 75% +103 Colorado Avalanche Home Games: 4-0, 100% +175

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 6-10, 38% -454 Colorado Avalanche Home Games: 9-9, 50% -81 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 Colorado Avalanche Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 173

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