January 12, 2026 4:34 PM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 1/13/2026

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 51.4 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 29 shots on goal vs 29 shots for the Penguins. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.2% compared to the Penguins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jonas Johansson 26, Stuart Skinner 26 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.6, Sidney Crosby 3.1 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.61, Rickard Rakell 0.61 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 71% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Sidney Crosby has a 61% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Penguins

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-7, 61% 355Record at Home7-11, 39% -513Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Pittsburgh Penguins0-1, 0% -100VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 145Pittsburgh Penguins
vs Team Under .5007-8, 47% -214vs Team .500 or Better8-9, 47% -36Pittsburgh Penguins
Record as Road Favorite3-5, 38% -280Record as Home Underdog2-3, 40% -109Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off18-13, 58% -2090After 1 or More Days Off15-16, 48% -1287Pittsburgh Penguins

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-1, 50% -2Record at Home1-3, 25% -222Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-2, 33% -143vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -322Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite0-1, 0% -100Record as Home Underdog0-1, 0% -100EVEN
After 1 or More Days Off3-3, 50% -540After 1 or More Days Off1-5, 17% -574Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-9, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-9, 53% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-1, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home16-16, 50% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road19-11, 63% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 12-6, 67% -96 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 6-12, 33% -688 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -100 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 1-3, 25% -222

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 11-7, 61% +280 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 6-12, 33% +-688 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -2 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 1-3, 25% -222

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 7-11, 39% -463 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 14-4, 78% + 874 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -9 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 2-2, 50% -18

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