January 23, 2026 10:20 AM EST

NHL: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 1/23/2026

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The Vegas Golden Knights are solid 62 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Golden Knights are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 30 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Golden Knights goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.8% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Adin Hill 22, Dennis Hildeby 26 SHOTS: Pavel Dorofeyev 3, Auston Matthews 4.3 GOALS: Pavel Dorofeyev 0.42, Auston Matthews 0.6 PTS: Mitch Marner has a 65% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 56% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-11, 52% -173Record at Home16-11, 59% 45Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 66VS Vegas Golden Knights0-1, 0% -100Vegas Golden Knights
vs Team Under .50014-9, 61% 12vs Team Under .50015-9, 62% 282Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite11-9, 55% -76Record as Home Underdog3-3, 50% -19Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off20-21, 49% -3248After 1 or More Days Off21-20, 51% -2329Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 38Record at Home5-1, 83% 311Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 66VS Vegas Golden Knights0-1, 0% -100Vegas Golden Knights
vs Team .500 or Better4-3, 57% -57vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -215Vegas Golden Knights
Record as Road Favorite3-2, 60% 38Record as Home Underdog3-0, 100% 281Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off5-6, 45% -935After 1 or More Days Off8-3, 73% -305Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-13, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-7, 68% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home23-13, 64% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road27-14, 66% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 11-12, 48% -1097 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 11-16, 41% -575 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 2-3, 40% -300 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-2, 67% +157

MONEY LINE - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 11-12, 48% -360 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 13-14, 48% +-470 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 2-3, 40% -149 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -52

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 11-12, 48% -199 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 10-17, 37% -790 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -27

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