November 11, 2025 4:27 AM EST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins 11/11/2025

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 63.5 percent favorites over the Boston Bruins. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +1 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Bruins. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91% compared to the Bruins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Anthony Stolarz 25, Jeremy Swayman 25 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 4.3, David Pastrnak 4.2 GOALS: William Nylander 0.66, David Pastrnak 0.46 PTS: Auston Matthews has a 56% chance of scoring at least 1 point and David Pastrnak has a 55% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Bruins

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-3, 25% -220Record at Home7-3, 70% 476Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 143Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -224vs Team .500 or Better7-6, 54% 289Boston Bruins
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -120Record as Home Underdog4-2, 67% 351Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -1003After 1 or More Days Off8-6, 57% +82Boston Bruins

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-2, 33% -120Record at Home5-3, 62% 332Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 143Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better3-4, 43% -185vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50% 224Boston Bruins
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -20Record as Home Underdog4-2, 67% 351Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off5-5, 50% -842After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% +13Boston Bruins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-3, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-0, 100% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-20, 38% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home9-1, 90% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road8-6, 57% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-0, 100% +404 Boston Bruins Home Games: 4-6, 40% -145 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-0, 100% +301 Boston Bruins Home Games: 4-4, 50% +55

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-0, 100% +390 Boston Bruins Home Games: 3-7, 30% +-464 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-0, 100% +287 Boston Bruins Home Games: 3-5, 38% -264

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 0-4, 0% -400 Boston Bruins Home Games: 4-6, 40% -236 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 0-3, 0% -300 Boston Bruins Home Games: 3-5, 38% -227

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