November 16, 2025 9:33 AM EST

NHL: Vancouver Canucks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 11/16/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 67.6 percent favorites over the Vancouver Canucks. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Canucks. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.9% compared to the Canucks goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Thatcher Demko 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 23 SHOTS: Quinn Hughes 3, Nikita Kucherov 3.7 GOALS: Brock Boeser 0.33, Brayden Point 0.61 PTS: Quinn Hughes has a 60% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Vancouver Canucks

Vancouver CanucksRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-4, 56% 135Record at Home4-3, 57% -9Vancouver Canucks
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Vancouver Canucks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -193vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 143Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 78Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -108Vancouver Canucks
After 1 or More Days Off6-8, 43% -643After 1 or More Days Off7-5, 58% -867Vancouver Canucks

PAST 30 DAYS

Vancouver CanucksRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-3, 57% 85Record at Home4-1, 80% 191Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Vancouver Canucks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-5, 29% -363vs Team Under .5004-0, 100% 343Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog3-3, 50% 28Record As Home Favorite3-1, 75% 92Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off4-6, 40% -540After 1 or More Days Off6-3, 67% -598Vancouver Canucks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Vancouver CanucksRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-4, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-4, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-13, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home8-4, 67% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road6-5, 55% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Vancouver Canucks Road Games: 3-6, 33% -217 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-3, 57% +90 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vancouver Canucks Road Games: 2-5, 29% -182 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-1, 80% +290

MONEY LINE - Vancouver Canucks Road Games: 5-4, 56% -31 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-4, 43% +-181 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vancouver Canucks Road Games: 4-3, 57% +4 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-2, 60% +19

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Vancouver Canucks Road Games: 4-5, 44% -136 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-5, 29% -318 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vancouver Canucks Road Games: 3-4, 43% -127 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 0-5, 0% -500

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