The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 65.1 percent favorites over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +1 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Flyers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.6% compared to the Flyers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Samuel Ersson 23, Andrei Vasilevskiy 23 SHOTS: Owen Tippett 2.8, Nikita Kucherov 3.6 GOALS: Travis Konecny 0.51, Brayden Point 0.64 PTS: Travis Konecny has a 52% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 74% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Flyers
| Philadelphia Flyers | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-4, 43% -54 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -70 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Flyers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% 21 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-6, 57% 60 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-4, 43% -54 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -169 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 11-7, 61% -417 | After 1 or More Days Off | 11-6, 65% -1087 | Philadelphia Flyers |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Philadelphia Flyers | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-1, 75% 246 | Record at Home | 6-2, 75% 230 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Flyers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 1-2, 33% -118 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-2, 60% 62 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-1, 75% 246 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-2, 71% 131 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 8-3, 73% -167 | After 1 or More Days Off | 10-2, 83% -618 | Philadelphia Flyers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Flyers | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-5, 50% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-1, 75% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 17-10, 63% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 7-5, 58% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 9-10, 47% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 2-5, 29% +37 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 7-4, 64% +257 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 2-2, 50% +263 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-2, 75% +286
MONEY LINE - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 4-3, 57% -44 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-6, 45% +-242 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 2-2, 50% -50 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-3, 62% +58
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 3-4, 43% -127 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-8, 27% -527 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 1-7, 12% -609
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