November 01, 2025 10:51 AM EST

NHL: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 11/3/2025

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 58.6 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Penguins. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.7% compared to the Penguins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Tristan Jarry 24, Dennis Hildeby 22 SHOTS: Sidney Crosby 3, Auston Matthews 4.3 GOALS: Bryan Rust 0.52, William Nylander 0.59 PTS: Sidney Crosby has a 56% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 58% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-2, 67% 334Record at Home5-3, 62% 6Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better0-3, 0% -300vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -339Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog3-0, 100% 469Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% 6Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off7-3, 70% -175After 1 or More Days Off3-5, 38% -688Pittsburgh Penguins

PAST 30 DAYS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-2, 67% 334Record at Home5-3, 62% 6Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better0-3, 0% -300vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -339Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog3-0, 100% 469Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% 6Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off7-3, 70% -175After 1 or More Days Off3-5, 38% -688Pittsburgh Penguins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home5-1, 83% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road5-2, 71% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 4-2, 67% +269 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-3, 62% +175 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 4-2, 67% +269 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-3, 62% +175

MONEY LINE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 1-5, 17% -435 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-3, 62% 30 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 1-5, 17% -435 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-3, 62% +30

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-5, 38% -227 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-5, 38% -227

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