November 04, 2025 2:27 PM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights 11/6/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 50.3 percent favorites over the Vegas Golden Knights. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Golden Knights. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.3% compared to the Golden Knights goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 25, Adin Hill 22 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.6, Jack Eichel 3.4 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.59, Pavel Dorofeyev 0.44 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 73% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 64% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDVegas Golden KnightsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -43Record at Home3-2, 60% -23Vegas Golden Knights
VS Vegas Golden Knights1-0, 100% 72VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% -14vs Team .500 or Better3-4, 43% -164Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog2-0, 100% 188Record As Home Favorite3-2, 60% -23Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -808After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -548Vegas Golden Knights

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDVegas Golden KnightsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -43Record at Home3-2, 60% -23Vegas Golden Knights
VS Vegas Golden Knights1-0, 100% 72VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% -14vs Team .500 or Better3-4, 43% -164Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog2-0, 100% 188Record As Home Favorite3-2, 60% -23Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -808After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -548Vegas Golden Knights

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDVegas Golden KnightsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-4, 33% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home5-3, 62% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road4-3, 57% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-2, 67% -57 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 3-2, 60% -23 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-2, 67% -57 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 3-2, 60% -23

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-3, 50% -43 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 3-2, 60% +-23 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-3, 50% -43 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 3-2, 60% -23

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-4, 33% -218 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 1-4, 20% -309 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-4, 33% -218 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 1-4, 20% -309

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